journal article·2025-11-01Open access

KAPNet: A physics-informed neural network with physical constraints modeled by Kolmogorov–Arnold network for wind speed prediction

Bin Pang, Hongqing Zhang, Ziyang Hao

AIP Advances· Volume 15· Issue 11

Abstract

Reliable wind speed prediction plays a crucial role in facilitating the efficient dispatch of wind energy, while its potential is limited by the inadequate integration of physical mechanisms in existing data-driven models. Accordingly, this paper develops a Kolmogorov–Arnold network (KAN) enabled physics-informed neural network (PINN) for wind speed prediction, called KAPNet, which incorporates the wind speed temporal evolution dynamics modeled by KAN into PINN. First, a predictor with a hierarchical architecture is designed to generate an initial wind speed prediction from the raw inputs comprising multivariate historical meteorological features and encoded target time. Second, the automatic differentiation mechanism is introduced to compute the partial derivatives of the initial prediction with respect to both the historical meteorological features and the target time. Third, a partial differential equation (PDE) modeled by KAN is constructed to dynamically capture the temporal evolution dynamics of wind speed by leveraging the initial prediction and the associated physical information. Finally, the KAN-modeled PDE serves as a physical constraint within PINN to dynamically refine the initial prediction into the final prediction, thereby enhancing both prediction precision and robustness. Two geographically contrasting datasets from both offshore and inland wind farms are employed to validate the effectiveness of KAPNet. The results demonstrate the superiority of KAPNet in prediction accuracy and stability over several state-of-the-art methods.
Source: crossref · Quality: baseline

Research context

OpenAlex topics: Energy Load and Power Forecasting · Model Reduction and Neural Networks · Wind Energy Research and Development

SciVX discovery tags are terminology-based. OpenAlex topics are source-provided classifications.

Affiliations

National and Local Joint Engineering Research Center of Metrology Instrument and System, Hebei University 1 , Baoding 071002,

College of Quality and Technical Supervision, Hebei University 2 , Baoding 071002,

Funding

Hebei Province Innovation Capacity Enhancement Project

References (45)

Show source-provided references
1. A critical barrier identification framework to the development of power system flexibility resources in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region10.1016/j.esd.2024.101504 ↗
2. A comprehensive review of artificial intelligence applications in wind energy power generation10.1016/j.sftr.2025.100638 ↗
3. A novel diffusion model with Shapley value analysis for anomaly detection and identification of wind turbine10.1016/j.eswa.2025.127925 ↗
4. Analysis and prediction of incoming wind speed for turbines in complex wind farm: Accounting for meteorological factors and spatiotemporal characteristics of wind farm10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.125135 ↗
5. Numerical weather prediction enhanced wind power forecasting: Rank ensemble and probabilistic fluctuation awareness10.1016/j.apenergy.2022.118769 ↗
6. EDHD-FG-XGBoost: Entropy-driven high-dimensional feature gain XGBoost model for short-term wind power prediction and application10.1063/5.0268894 ↗
7. A machine learning model for hub-height short-term wind speed prediction10.1038/s41467-025-58456-4 ↗
8. A review of wind speed and wind power forecasting with deep neural networks10.1016/j.apenergy.2021.117766 ↗
9. Numerical simulation of wind flow characteristics over a large-scale complex terrain: A computational fluid dynamics (CFD) approach10.1016/j.cacint.2024.100142 ↗
10. Parametric and structural sensitivities of turbine-height wind speeds in the boundary layer parameterizations in the weather research and forecasting model10.1029/2018jd029691 ↗
11. Wind speed prediction using wavelet decomposition based on Lorenz disturbance model10.1080/03772063.2018.1512384 ↗
12. Wind speed forecasting by the extraction of the multifractal patterns of time series through the multiplicative cascade technique10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110592 ↗
13. Research on fault feature extraction for planet-bearing using novel combination operator morphological filtering and stochastic resonance10.1016/j.jsv.2025.119037 ↗
14. Short term multi-steps wind speed forecasting for carbon neutral microgrid by decomposition based hybrid model10.1016/j.esd.2023.01.016 ↗
15. Evolving long short-term memory neural network for wind speed forecasting10.1016/j.ins.2023.03.031 ↗
16. Local and Long-range Convolutional LSTM Network: A novel multi-step wind speed prediction approach for modeling local and long-range spatial correlations based on ConvLSTM10.1016/j.engappai.2023.107613 ↗
17. GT-LSTM: A spatio-temporal ensemble network for traffic flow prediction10.1016/j.neunet.2023.12.016 ↗
18. A novel model for ultra-short term wind power prediction based on vision transformer10.1016/j.energy.2024.130854 ↗
19. Informer learning framework based on secondary decomposition for multi-step forecast of ultra-short term wind speed10.1016/j.engappai.2024.109702 ↗
20. Time-frequency supervised contrastive learning via pseudo-labeling: An unsupervised domain adaptation network for rolling bearing fault diagnosis under time-varying speeds10.1016/j.aei.2023.102304 ↗
21. A noise-enhanced feature extraction method combined with tunable Q-factor wavelet transform and its application to planet-bearing fault diagnosis10.1016/j.apacoust.2025.110845 ↗
22. CMLLM: A novel cross-modal large language model for wind power forecasting10.1016/j.enconman.2025.119673 ↗
23. Physics-informed neural networks: A deep learning framework for solving forward and inverse problems involving nonlinear partial differential equations10.1016/j.jcp.2018.10.045 ↗
24. A novel fault feature extraction method for planet-bearing based on generalized total variation model10.1109/jsen.2025.3558822 ↗
25. Spatiotemporal wind field prediction based on physics-informed deep learning and LIDAR measurements10.1016/j.apenergy.2021.116641 ↗
26. Physics-informed neural network for lithium-ion battery degradation stable modeling and prognosis10.1038/s41467-024-48779-z ↗
27. Three-dimensional spatiotemporal wind field reconstruction based on LiDAR and multi-scale PINN10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.124577 ↗
28. On the limitations of physics-informed deep learning: Illustrations using first-order hyperbolic conservation law-based traffic flow models10.1109/ojits.2023.3268026 ↗
29. Kolmogorov–Arnold network made learning physics laws simple10.1021/acs.jpclett.4c02589 ↗
30. Weekly cycles in peak time temperatures and urban heat island intensity10.1088/1748-9326/11/7/074003 ↗
31. Environmental data analytics for smart cities: A machine learning and statistical approach10.3390/smartcities8030090 ↗
32. Wind turbulence modeling for real-time simulation10.1007/s13540-023-00165-0 ↗
33. Digital China Innovation Contest, “Offshore wind power output forecasting competition dataset,” (2024); https://2024.dcic-china.com/competitions/10098/datasets (accessed 06 May 2025).
34. Short-term wind power prediction method based on multivariate signal decomposition and RIME optimization algorithm10.1016/j.eswa.2024.125376 ↗
35. Long short-term memory10.1162/neco.1997.9.8.1735 ↗
36. A new short-term wind speed forecasting method based on fine-tuned LSTM neural network and optimal input sets10.1016/j.enconman.2020.112824 ↗
37. Wind speed short-term prediction using recurrent neural network GRU model and stationary wavelet transform GRU hybrid model10.1016/j.enconman.2024.118333 ↗
38. Bidirectional recurrent neural networks10.1109/78.650093 ↗
39. Near real-time wind speed forecast model with bidirectional LSTM networks10.1016/j.renene.2022.12.123 ↗
40. 2-D regional short-term wind speed forecast based on CNN-LSTM deep learning model10.1016/j.enconman.2021.114451 ↗
41. Arctic short-term wind speed forecasting based on CNN-LSTM model with CEEMDAN10.1016/j.energy.2024.131448 ↗
42. Wind speed prediction of unmanned sailboat based on CNN and LSTM hybrid neural network10.1016/j.oceaneng.2022.111352 ↗
43. A CNN-LSTM model for predicting wind speed in non-stationary wind fields in mountainous areas based on wavelet transform and adaptive programming10.1063/5.0230026 ↗
44. An attention-based multi-input LSTM with sliding window-based two-stage decomposition for wind speed forecasting10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.124057 ↗
45. Applicability analysis of transformer to wind speed forecasting by a novel deep learning framework with multiple atmospheric variables10.1016/j.apenergy.2023.122155 ↗