journal article·2023-02-01Open access

Recurrent neural network wind power prediction based on variational modal decomposition improvement

Chongqing Shi, Xiaoli Zhang

AIP Advances· Volume 13· Issue 2

Abstract

In order to avoid the problem that the traditional recurrent neural network (RNN) wind power prediction model cannot take into account both the law of wind power variation and the impact of sudden change factors, this paper proposes an improved cyclic neural network wind power prediction model based on variational modal decomposition (VMD). The VMD algorithm is used to decompose the output power of wind power into different frequency components and analyze the impact of different frequency components on the prediction model. Combined with the feature extraction ability of the neural network, it can reduce the impact of abrupt abnormal data on the prediction results and improve the real-time prediction accuracy of wind power. According to the historical data of an actual wind farm, the results show that the accuracy of the wind power prediction model based on VMD and the recurrent neural network is more than 85%, which is superior to the traditional RNN and the standard long short term memory wind power prediction model.
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Research context

OpenAlex topics: Energy Load and Power Forecasting · Wind Energy Research and Development · Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics

SciVX discovery tags are terminology-based. OpenAlex topics are source-provided classifications.

Affiliations

SDIC Guangxi New Energy Development Co., Ltd. 1 , Nanning, Guangxi, 530000, China

SDIC Gansu New Energy Co., Ltd. 2 , Lanzhou, Gansu, 730070, China

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