journal article·2024-05-01Open access

Materials requirement prediction challenges addressed through SDM and MEIO

T. Ashok, T. Sathish, Ahmed Ahmed Ibrahim, Salahuddin Khan, Shashwath Patil, R. Saravanan, Jayant Giri

AIP Advances· Volume 14· Issue 5

Abstract

Offering intended products at an affordable price is a highly challenging task in a business environment. To meet such challenges, industrial experts and researchers have different approaches, such as shifting the purchase of materials from import mode to local vendors and optimizing machining cost by optimizing process parameters, waste reduction, rework reduction, and technological improvements. The novelty of this study lies in reducing material cost by accurate materials forecasting to minimize storage cost, ablation cost, average annual consumption cost, etc. This study aims to compare the efficacy of the Seasonal Decomposition Method (SDM) against Multi-Echelon Inventory Optimization (MEIO) for minimizing inventory through accurate materials forecasting. Through rigorous evaluation and analysis, this research seeks to clarify the strengths and weaknesses of each approach, thereby providing insights into their applicability and effectiveness in addressing inventory management challenges across diverse seasonal demand patterns. The sample size was taken as 50 per group. The G-power applied is about 80%. The significance value obtained is 0.001 (p < 0.05), indicating a statistically significant difference between the two algorithms used for inventory reduction and materials forecasting. SDM (63.43) outperforms MEIO (48.57) in terms of accuracy. SDM yielded a better accuracy when compared to MEIO for inventory minimization and materials forecasting.
Source: crossref · Quality: baseline

Research context

OpenAlex topics: Forecasting Techniques and Applications · Management and Optimization Techniques · Supply Chain and Inventory Management

SciVX discovery tags are terminology-based. OpenAlex topics are source-provided classifications.

Affiliations

Department of Electronics and Communication Engineering, Saveetha School of Engineering, SIMATS 1 , Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India

Department of Mechanical Engineering, Saveetha School of Engineering, SIMATS 2 , Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India

Department of Physics and Astronomy, College of Science, King Saud University 3 , P.O. Box 2455, 11451 Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

College of Engineering, King Saud University 4 , P.O. Box 800, Riyadh 11421, Saudi Arabia

Department of Mechanical Engineering, Yeshwantrao Chavan College of Engineering 5 , Nagpur, Maharashtra, India

Funding

King Saud University

References (25)

Show source-provided references
1. Multi-echelon supply chains with uncertain seasonal demands and lead times using deep reinforcement learning
2. A new key performance indicator model for demand forecasting in inventory management considering supply chain reliability and seasonality10.1016/j.sca.2023.100026 ↗
3. A comprehensive survey of guaranteed-service models for multi-echelon inventory optimization10.1016/j.ijpe.2015.11.017 ↗
4. Design of multi-warehouse inventory model for an optimal replenishment policy using a rain optimization algorithm10.1016/j.knosys.2021.107406 ↗
5. A multi-echelon inventory management framework for stochastic and fuzzy supply chains10.1016/j.eswa.2008.06.082 ↗
6. Simulation evaluation for efficient inventory management based on demand forecast
7. Research on multi-echelon inventory optimization for fresh products in supply chains10.3390/su13116309 ↗
8. Stockout prediction in multi echelon supply chain using machine learning algorithms
9. MSTL: A seasonal-trend decomposition algorithm for time series with multiple seasonal patterns
10. Operations research models and methods for safety stock determination: A review10.1016/j.orp.2020.100164 ↗
11. RNN/LSTM with modified Adam optimizer in deep learning approach for automobile spare parts demand forecasting10.1007/s11042-021-10913-0 ↗
12. Fast RobustSTL: Efficient and robust seasonal-trend decomposition for time series with complex patterns
13. Data decomposition, seasonal adjustment method and machine learning combined for runoff prediction: A case study10.1007/s11269-022-03389-6 ↗
14. STR: Seasonal-trend decomposition using regression10.1287/ijds.2021.0004 ↗
15. A linear programming-based bi-objective optimization for forecasting short univariate time series10.1016/j.dajour.2024.100400 ↗
16. A survey of semiconductor supply chain models Part II: Demand planning, inventory management, and capacity planning10.1080/00207543.2018.1424363 ↗
17. Assessment of the impact of inventory optimization drivers in a multi-echelon supply chain: Case of a toy manufacturer10.1016/j.cie.2019.106232 ↗
18. Deep reinforcement learning for inventory optimization with non-stationary uncertain demand10.1016/j.ejor.2023.10.007 ↗
19. A viable supply chain by considering vendor-managed-inventory with a consignment stock policy and learning approach10.1016/j.rineng.2023.101609 ↗
20. A new methodology for multi-echelon inventory management in stochastic and neuro-fuzzy environments10.1016/j.ijpe.2010.06.019 ↗
21. Express: A non-parametric learning algorithm for a stochastic multi-echelon inventory problem10.1177/10591478241231858 ↗
22. Designing a responsive-sustainable-resilient blood supply chain network considering congestion by linear regression method10.1016/j.eswa.2023.122976 ↗
23. A system-dynamic based simulation and Bayesian optimization for inventory management,”
24. Inventory optimization of deteriorating items: A comprehensive review of carbon-control policies and their impact on shelf life, greening effects, and rework policies10.4995/wpom.20268 ↗
25. A. Robin , “Robust inventory induction under demand uncertainty,” Ph.D. Dissertation (Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2024).