journal article·2026-03-18Open access

Robust Multivariate Simultaneous Control Chart Based on Minimum Regularized Covariance Determinant (MRCD)

Muhammad Ahsan, Muhammad Mashuri, Rahmatin Nur Amalia, Farisi Fahri, Dinda Ayu Safira, Muhammad Hisyam Lee

Applied Sciences· Volume 16· Issue 6

Abstract

Control charts are widely used in the industrial world to monitor the average and variability of production processes. Max-Half-Mchart is a multivariate control chart that is not particularly effective in handling many outliers. This research aims to develop a control chart that is more resistant to outliers by using Minimum Regularized Covariance Determinant (MRCD). MRCD is a development of the MCD method, which is better at dealing with ‘fat data,” namely, situations in which the number of variables is greater than the number of observations. The performance of a robust Max-Half-Mchart control chart based on MRCD was evaluated using the average run length (ARL) against shifts in the process mean, process variance, and simultaneous shifts. A comparison was also made of the outlier detection accuracy between the robust Max-Half-Mchart based on MRCD and the standard Max-Half-Mchart. Simulation results demonstrated that the MRCD-based robust chart is most sensitive to simultaneous shifts in the mean and variance, significantly outperforming the conventional method in “de-masking” process deviations. The robust framework maintains higher accuracy and AUC levels even at extreme contamination stages of 30% to 40% outliers, where traditional charts typically fail. A practical application to cement quality data further substantiated these findings, as the robust chart successfully identified 14 out-of-control signals (comprising the mean, variability, and simultaneous shifts), whereas the conventional chart detected none. These results indicate that the MRCD-based Max-Half-Mchart offers a more reliable and responsive quality monitoring system for complex industrial datasets.
Source: crossref · Quality: baseline

Research context

OpenAlex topics: Advanced Statistical Process Monitoring · Advanced Statistical Methods and Models · Fault Detection and Control Systems

SciVX discovery tags are terminology-based. OpenAlex topics are source-provided classifications.

Affiliations

Department of Statistics, Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember, Surabaya 60111, Indonesia

Department of Mathematical Sciences, Universiti Teknologi Malaysia, Johor Bahru 81310, Malaysia

Funding

Ministry of Higher Education, Science, and Technology

References (37)

Show source-provided references
1. Alım, M., and Kesen, S.E. (2023). Statistical process control (SPC) and quality management. Smart and Sustainable Operations and Supply Chain Management in Industry 4.0, CRC Press.10.1201/9781003180302-6 ↗
2. Oakland, J., and Oakland, J.S. (2007). Statistical Process Control, Routledge.10.4324/9780080551739 ↗
3. Economic Control of Quality of Manufactured Product10.2307/2277676 ↗
4. Montgomery, D.C. (2020). Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, John Wiley & Sons. [8th ed.].
5. Control Chart Tests Based on Geometric Moving Averages10.1080/00401706.1959.10489860 ↗
6. Cumulative Sum Schemes Using Gauging Cumulative10.1080/00401706.1962.10489990 ↗
7. Multivariate statistical process control charts: An overview10.1002/qre.829 ↗
8. The Generalized Variance of a Stationary Autoregressive Process10.1016/0047-259X(77)90069-0 ↗
9. Multivariate control chart for process dispersion based on individual observations10.1081/QEN-120018394 ↗
10. Simultaneous monitoring of magnitude and time-between-events data with a Max-EWMA control chart10.1016/j.cie.2020.106378 ↗
11. A double-max MEWMA scheme for simultaneous monitoring and fault isolation of multivariate multistage auto-correlated processes based on novel reduced-dimension statistics10.1016/j.jprocont.2015.03.008 ↗
12. Multivariate max-CUSUM chart10.1080/16843703.2005.11673095 ↗
13. Cheng, S.W., and Thaga, K. (2010). The max-cusum chart. Frontiers in Statistical Quality Control 9, Springer.10.1007/978-3-7908-2380-6_6 ↗
14. The variable sample size and sampling interval run sum Max chart10.1080/16843703.2024.2315837 ↗
15. Multivariate Max-Chart
16. A Multivariate Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Chart
17. Nonparametric control chart based on change-point model10.1007/s00362-007-0054-7 ↗
18. Residual-based maximum MCUSUM control chart for joint monitoring the mean and variability of multivariate autocorrelated processes
19. A new adaptive control chart for the simultaneous monitoring of the mean and variability of multivariate normal processes10.1016/j.cie.2020.106524 ↗
20. Control charts for joint monitoring of mean and variance: An overview10.1080/16843703.2013.11673306 ↗
21. The effectiveness of Max-half-Mchart over Max-Mchart in simultaneously monitoring process mean and variability of individual observations10.1002/qre.2860 ↗
22. Robust T2 control chart using median-based estimators10.1002/qre.2691 ↗
23. Least Median of Squares Regression10.1080/01621459.1984.10477105 ↗
24. Hubert, M., and Van Driessen, K. (2025, February 02). Fast and Robust Discriminant Analysis. Available online: www.elsevier.com/locate/csda.
25. A fast algorithm for the minimum covariance determinant estimator10.1080/00401706.1999.10485670 ↗
26. A robust Hotelling test10.1007/s001840200192 ↗
27. A deterministic algorithm for robust location and scatter10.1080/10618600.2012.672100 ↗
28. Minimum regularized covariance determinant and principal component analysis-based method for the identification of high leverage points in high dimensional sparse data10.1080/02664763.2022.2093842 ↗
29. Minimum regularized covariance trace estimator and outlier detection for functional data10.1080/00401706.2024.2336542 ↗
30. The minimum regularized covariance determinant estimator10.1007/s11222-019-09869-x ↗
31. Efficiency performance, control charts, and process improvement: Complementary measurement and evaluation10.1109/17.922481 ↗
32. Prasetya, I.K., Ahsan, M., Mashuri, M., and Lee, M.H. (2024). Bootstrap and MRCD Estimators in Hotelling’s T 2 Control Charts for Precise Intrusion Detection. Appl. Sci., 14.10.3390/app14177948 ↗
33. CellMCD+: An improved outlier-resistant cellwise minimum covariance determinant method10.1016/j.spl.2025.110366 ↗
34. The cellwise minimum covariance determinant estimator10.1080/01621459.2023.2267777 ↗
35. Multioutput least square SVR-based multivariate EWMA control chart: The performance evaluation and application10.1080/23311916.2018.1531456 ↗
36. Support vector data description with kernel density estimation (SVDD-KDE) control chart for network intrusion monitoring10.1038/s41598-023-46719-3 ↗
37. Perfomance fuzzy multinomial control chart10.1088/1742-6596/1028/1/012120 ↗