Theoretical Study on Pipeline Settlement Induced by Excavation of Ultra-Shallow Buried Pilot Tunnels Based on Stochastic Media and Elastic Foundation Beams

Excavation of ultra-shallow pilot tunnels triggers surface settlement and endangers surrounding pipelines. The discontinuous settlement curve from traditional stochastic medium theory cannot be directly integrated into the foundation beam model, limiting pipeline deformation prediction accuracy. The key novelty of this study lies in proposing an improved coupled method tailored to ultra-shallow burial conditions: converting the discontinuous settlement solution into a continuous analytical one via polynomial fitting, embedding it into the Winkler elastic foundation beam model, and realizing pipeline settlement prediction by solving the deflection curve differential equation with the initial parameter method and boundary conditions. Four core factors affecting pipeline deformation are identified, with pilot tunnel size as the key. Shallower depth (especially 5.5 m) intensifies stratum disturbance; pipeline parameters (diameter, wall thickness, elastic modulus) significantly impact bending moment, while stratum elastic modulus has little effect on settlement. Verified by the Xueyuannanlu Station project of Beijing Rail Transit Line 13, theoretical and measured settlement trends are highly consistent, with core indicators meeting safety requirements (max theoretical/measured settlement: −10.9 mm/−8.6 mm < 30 mm; max rotation angle: −0.066° < 0.340°). Errors (max 5.1 mm) concentrate at the pipeline edge, and conservative theoretical values satisfy engineering safety evaluation demands.