journal article·2025-12-29Open access

Multi-Hazard Risk Assessment in Historic City Centers at the District and Building Levels: An Open-Source GIS Workflow

Teresa Fortunato, Mariella De Fino, Fabio Fatiguso

Applied Sciences· Volume 16· Issue 1

Abstract

Historic city centers are characterized by dense and heterogeneous built environments, making them particularly vulnerable to the compound effects of seismic, flood, and landslide hazards. In this context, information required for vulnerability and risk assessment is often fragmented, limiting the effectiveness of preventive planning and mitigation strategies. This reveals an operational gap in current practice; therefore, this work aims to support decision-oriented, multi-level assessment in historic centers through a replicable approach, even in low-resource contexts. A GIS workflow integrates territorial multi-hazard screening with building-scale overlay mapping of literature-based vulnerability, exposure, and risk classes. Applied to Montalbano Jonico (Italy), the screening analyzed 15 census sections and identified three hotspot areas within the historic center for detailed assessment. Within these critical areas, building-scale mapping yields intervention priorities: 42.8% of building aggregates show High–Very High seismic vulnerability (44.4% in Very High–Maximum Priority risk classes) and 50% show Very High landslide vulnerability (63.2% in Very High–Maximum Priority risk classes), mostly affecting masonry and residential buildings. Overall, the framework provides a practical decision tool to support municipal administrations, technical offices, civil protection agencies, and built heritage management institutions, and is designed for GIS–BIM interoperability.
Source: crossref · Quality: baseline

Research context

OpenAlex topics: Masonry and Concrete Structural Analysis · Seismic Performance and Analysis · 3D Surveying and Cultural Heritage

SciVX discovery tags are terminology-based. OpenAlex topics are source-provided classifications.

Affiliations

Department of Civil, Environmental, Land, Construction and Chemistry, Politecnico di Bari, Via Orabona 4, 70126 Bari, Italy

References (66)

Show source-provided references
1. Ugliotti, F.M., Daud, M., and Iacono, E. (2025). Spatial Insights for Building Resilience: The Territorial Risk Management & Analysis Across Scale Framework for Bridging Scales in Multi-Hazard Assessment. Smart Cities, 8.10.3390/smartcities8010027 ↗
2. Mladineo, N., Mladineo, M., Benvenuti, E., Kekez, T., and Nikolić, Ž. (2022). Methodology for the Assessment of Multi-Hazard Risk in Urban Homogenous Zones. Appl. Sci., 12.10.3390/app122412843 ↗
3. Seismic Vulnerability and Risk Assessment: Case Study of the Historic City Centre of Coimbra, Portugal10.1007/s10518-010-9233-3 ↗
4. Characterization of Elements at Risk in the Multirisk Coastal Context and at Different Spatial Scales: Multi-Database Integration (Normandy, France)10.1016/j.apgeog.2019.102076 ↗
5. On the Suitability of a Unified GIS-BIM-HBIM Framework for Cataloguing and Assessing Vulnerability in Historic Urban Landscapes: A Critical Review10.1080/13658816.2020.1844208 ↗
6. United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (2015). Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015–2030, UNDRR.
7. INSPIRE Maintenance and Implementation Group (MIG) (2024). D2.8.III.12 Data Specification on Natural Risk Zones-Technical Guidelines, INSPIRE.
8. European Parliament and the Council of the European Union (2007). Directive 2007/2/EC of 14 March 2007 establishing an Infrastructure for Spatial Information in the European Community (INSPIRE). Off. J. Eur. Union, 108, 1–14.
9. INSPIRE Maintenance and Implementation Group (MIG) (2024). D2.8.I.4 Data Specification on Administrative Units—Technical Guidelines, INSPIRE.
10. INSPIRE Maintenance and Implementation Group (MIG) (2024). D2.8.III.1 Data Specification on Statistical Units-Technical Guidelines, INSPIRE.
11. INSPIRE Maintenance and Implementation Group (MIG) (2024). D2.8.III.2 Data Specification on Buildings-Technical Guidelines, INSPIRE.
12. European Commission (2023). Directorate-General for Internal Market, Industry, Entrepreneurship and SMEs (DG GROW). Technical Guidelines for Digital Building Logbooks: Guidelines to the Member States on Setting Up and Operationalizing Digital Building Logbooks under a Common EU Framework.
13. Signorini, M., Dejaco, M.C., and Lupica Spagnolo, S. (2025). The Evolution of Digital Building Logbook: Exploring Building Information Gathering Systems to Boost Building Maintenance and Renovation. Appl. Sci., 15.10.3390/app15020771 ↗
14. The Digital Building Logbook as a Gateway Linked to Existing National Data Sources: The Cases of Spain and Italy10.1016/j.jobe.2022.105461 ↗
15. Gómez-Gil, M., Karami, S., de Almeida, J.P., Cardoso, A., Espinosa-Fernández, A., and López-Mesa, B. (2024). Envisaging a European Digital Building Renovation Logbook: Proposal of a Data Model. Appl. Sci., 14.10.3390/app14198903 ↗
16. Karami, S., de Almeida, J.-P., Ellul, C., and Cardoso, A. (2024, January 14–17). Semantic Mapping Analysis of Digital Building Logbook/Passport Models. Proceedings of the European Conference on Computing in Construction, Chania, Greece.10.35490/EC3.2024.227 ↗
17. Gómez-Gil, M., Espinosa-Fernández, A., and López-Mesa, B. (2022). Contribution of New Digital Technologies to the Digital Building Logbook. Buildings, 12.10.3390/buildings12122129 ↗
18. A General Method for Multi–Hazard Intensity Assessment for Cultural Resources: Implementation in the Region of Eastern Macedonia and Thrace, Greece10.1016/j.ijdrr.2023.104197 ↗
19. Aleksova, B., Milevski, I., Dragićević, S., and Lukić, T. (2024). GIS-Based Integrated Multi-Hazard Vulnerability Assessment in Makedonska Kamenica Municipality, North Macedonia. Atmosphere, 15.10.3390/atmos15070774 ↗
20. Multi-Hazard Vulnerability Zone Identification Using GIS-Based Fuzzy AHP and MCDM Techniques10.1007/s11069-025-07125-2 ↗
21. Nieto, C.E., Martínez-Graña, A.M., and Merchán, L. (2024). Natural Hazard Assessment in the Southeastern Margin of the Ría de Arosa (Pontevedra, Spain) Using GIS Techniques. Sustainability, 16.10.3390/su162210101 ↗
22. Tocchi, G., Ottonelli, D., Rebora, N., and Polese, M. (2023). Multi-Risk Assessment in the Veneto Region: An Approach to Rank Seismic and Flood Risk. Sustainability, 15.10.3390/su151612458 ↗
23. A Framework for Multi-Risk Assessment in a Historical Area of Lisbon10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104508 ↗
24. Development of Risk Maps for Flood, Landslide, and Soil Erosion Using Machine Learning Model10.1007/s11069-024-06670-6 ↗
25. Ugliotti, F.M., Osello, A., Daud, M., and Onur Yilmaz, O. (2023). Enhancing Risk Analysis toward a Landscape Digital Twin Framework: A Multi-Hazard Approach in the Context of a Socio-Economic Perspective. Sustainability, 15.10.20944/preprints202307.1608.v1 ↗
26. Cappucci, S., Pollino, M., Farrace, M.G., Della Morte, L., and Baiocchi, V. (2024). Infrastructure Impact Assessment through Multi-Hazard Analysis at Different Scales: The 26 November 2022 Flood Event on the Island of Ischia and Debris Management. Land, 13.10.3390/land13040500 ↗
27. Regional Vulnerability and Risk Assessment Accounting for Local Building Typologies10.1016/j.ijdrr.2019.101400 ↗
28. A Novel Model for Multi-Risk Ranking of Buildings at City Level Based on Open Data: The Test Site of Rome, Italy10.1080/19475705.2023.2275541 ↗
29. Garrote, J., Díez-Herrero, A., Escudero, C., and García, I. (2020). A Framework Proposal for Regional-Scale Flood-Risk Assessment of Cultural Heritage Sites and Application to the Castile and León Region (Central Spain). Water, 12.10.3390/w12020329 ↗
30. Understanding Flood Risk in Urban Environments: Spatial Analysis of Building Vulnerability and Hazard Areas in the Lisbon Metropolitan Area10.1007/s11069-024-06731-w ↗
31. A Methodological Approach of QRA for Slow-Moving Landslides at a Regional Scale10.1007/s10346-022-01875-x ↗
32. The Impact of the Aggregation Formula on Indicator-Based Method for the Assessment of Building Susceptibility to Hydro-Meteorological Hazards10.1016/j.ijdrr.2022.102850 ↗
33. Numerical Calibration of an Easy Method for Seismic Behaviour Assessment on Large Scale of Masonry Building Aggregates10.1016/j.advengsoft.2014.09.013 ↗
34. On the Seismic Vulnerability Assessment of Urban Areas Using Census Data: The Lisbon Metropolitan Area as a Pilot Study Area10.1080/13632469.2023.2197078 ↗
35. Ferreira, T.M., and Santos, P.P. (2020). An Integrated Approach for Assessing Flood Risk in Historic City Centres. Water, 12.10.3390/w12061648 ↗
36. Flood Vulnerability and Risk Assessment of Historic Urban Areas: Vulnerability Evaluation, Derivation of Depth-Damage Curves and Cost—Benefit Analysis of Flood Adaptation Measures Applied to the Historic City Centre of Tomar, Portugal10.1111/jfr3.12908 ↗
37. A Simplified Approach for Flood Vulnerability Assessment of Historic Sites10.1007/s11069-018-03565-1 ↗
38. Quantitative Vulnerability Estimation for Scenario-Based Landslide Hazards10.1007/s10346-009-0190-3 ↗
39. Assessment of the Physical Vulnerability of Buildings Affected by Slow-Moving Landslides10.5194/nhess-20-2547-2020 ↗
40. Sammartano, G., Avena, M., Fillia, E., and Spanò, A. (2023). Integrated HBIM-GIS Models for Multi-Scale Seismic Vulnerability Assessment of Historical Buildings. Remote Sens., 15.10.3390/rs15030833 ↗
41. Fonsati, A., Cosentini, R.M., Tundo, C., and Osello, A. (2023). From Geotechnical Data to GeoBIM Models: Testing Strategies for an Ex-Industrial Site in Turin. Buildings, 13.10.3390/buildings13092343 ↗
42. Multi-Attribute-Based Procedure for Seismic Loss Scenario in a Historical Area10.1007/s10518-024-02029-1 ↗
43. A Simplified Methodology for Risk Analysis of Historic Centers: The World Heritage Site of San Gimignano, Italy10.1108/IJDRBE-04-2020-0029 ↗
44. Gutiérrez-Carrillo, M.L., Cardiel, I.B., Melgarejo, E.M., and Cobaleda, M.M. (2020). Pathologic and Risk Analysis of the Lojuela Castle (Granada-Spain): Methodology and Preventive Conservation for Medieval Earthen Fortifications. Appl. Sci., 10.10.3390/app10186491 ↗
45. Barchetta, L., Petrucci, E., Xavier, V., and Bento, R. (2023). A Simplified Framework for Historic Cities to Define Strategies Aimed at Implementing Resilience Skills: The Case of Lisbon Downtown. Buildings, 13.10.3390/buildings13010130 ↗
46. A GIS-Based Approach for Shallow Landslides Risk Assessment in the Giampilieri and Briga Catchments Areas (Sicily, Italy)10.3390/geohazards5010011 ↗
47. Chieffo, N., and Formisano, A. (2020). Induced Seismic-Site Effects on the Vulnerability Assessment of a Historical Centre in the Molise Region of Italy: Analysis Method and Real Behaviour Calibration Based on 2002 Earthquake. Geosciences, 10.10.3390/geosciences10010021 ↗
48. A Geospatial Decision Support Tool for Seismic Risk Management: Florence (Italy) Case Study
49. A Vulnerability Index Formulation for the Seismic Vulnerability Assessment of Vernacular Architecture10.1016/j.engstruct.2019.109381 ↗
50. Funari, M.F., Mehrotra, A., and Lourenço, P.B. (2021). A Tool for the Rapid Seismic Assessment of Historic Masonry Structures Based on Limit Analysis Optimisation and Rocking Dynamics. Appl. Sci., 11.10.3390/app11030942 ↗
51. A European Interoperable Database (EID) to Increase Resilience of Cultural Heritage
52. Geological Features of the Special Nature Reserve of Montalbano Jonico Badlands (Basilicata, Southern Italy)10.1080/17445647.2023.2179435 ↗
53. ISTAT—Istituto Nazionale di Statistica (2018). Confini Delle Unità Amministrative a Fini Statistici, ISTAT.
54. ISTAT—Istituto Nazionale di Statistica (2011). Basi Territoriali e Variabili Censuarie, ISTAT.
55. (2025, November 30). Regione Basilicata—Centro Cartografico Dipartimentale della Direzione Generale Ambiente e Territorio. Carta Tecnica Regionale (CTR), Available online: https://inspire-geoportal.ec.europa.eu/srv/api/records/r_basili%3AA084ABEC-73C5-5C7A-0F02-7D0AA721D060?utm_source=chatgpt.com.
56. (2025, December 02). Agenzia delle Entrate—Servizi Catastali Servizio WMS della Cartografia Catastale, Available online: https://www.agenziaentrate.gov.it/portale/schede/fabbricatiterreni/consultazione-cartografia-catastale/servizio-consultazione-cartografia.
57. (2025, November 30). Regione Basilicata—Centro Cartografico Dipartimentale della Direzione Generale Ambiente e Territorio. Modello Digitale Del Terreno (DTM) Risoluzione 5 m, Available online: https://rsdi.regione.basilicata.it/dbgt-ctr/?utm_source=chatgpt.com.
58. (2025, November 30). Regione Basilicata—Centro Cartografico Dipartimentale della Direzione Generale Ambiente e Territorio. DBGT—Quadro Di Unione Delle Ortofoto 2013, Available online: https://rsdi.regione.basilicata.it/dbgt-ctr/?utm_source=chatgpt.com.
59. Stucchi, M., Akinci, A., Faccioli, E., Gasperini, P., Malagnini, L., Meletti, C., Montaldo, V., and Valensise, G. (2004). Mappa Di Pericolosità Sismica Del Territorio Nazionale (MPS04), Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV).
60. Autorità di Bacino della Basilicata (2021). Piano Stralcio per La Difesa Dal Rischio Idrogeologico (PAI)—Cartografia Della Pericolosità Da Alluvione, Regione Basilicata, Autorità di Bacino Distrettuale dell’Appennino Meridionale.
61. Autorità di Bacino della Basilicata (2024). Piano Stralcio per La Difesa Dal Rischio Idrogeologico (PAI)—Cartografia Della Pericolosità Da Frana, Regione Basilicata, Autorità di Bacino Distrettuale dell’Appennino Meridionale.
62. Regione Basilicata (2023). Piano Paesaggistico Regionale Basilicata (PPRB), Regione Basilicata.
63. (2025, November 30). Agenzia delle Entrate—Osservatorio del Mercato Immobiliare (OMI). Banca Dati Delle Quotazioni Immobiliari, Available online: https://www.agenziaentrate.gov.it/portale/schede/fabbricatiterreni/omi/banche-dati/quotazioni-immobiliari?utm_source=chatgpt.com.
64. ISTAT—Istituto Nazionale di Statistica (2018). Mappa Dei Rischi Dei Comuni Italiani, ISTAT.
65. (2025, November 30). Comune di Montalbano Jonico. Piano Comunale di Protezione Civile, Available online: https://servizio-nazionale.protezionecivile.it/static/5fc1eb8ec6950246c3860e63e2ba9cee/pianicomunali-21072022-pubblicazione-su-sito-dpc.xlsx?utm_source=chatgpt.com.
66. Istituto Superiore per la Conservazione ed il Restauro (2025, December 02). MiC Vincoli in Rete—Portale per La Consultazione Dei Vincoli Sui Beni Culturali Immobili. Ministero della Cultura: Rome, Italy, 2025. Available online: https://vincoliinrete.beniculturali.it/VincoliInRete/vir/utente/login.