Identification of Interactions Between the Effects of Geodynamic Activity and Changes in Radon Concentration as Markers of Seismic Events

This article describes the interactions between radon emissions and tectonic movements that accompany seismic activity as a function of time. The interpretation is based on advanced data analysis methods, such as Fourier wavelet transform, SGolay correlation analysis, and time-based data categorization. The dataset comprised the measurement results of 222Rn activity concentrations and the effects of the tectonic activity of rock masses acquired from two water-tube tiltmeters and five SRDN-3 radon probes. The analysis included four seismic events with moderate and light magnitudes (≥4.0), with a hypocenter at a depth of 1–10 km, located approximately 75 km from the research site. Each seismic shock had a different distribution of rock mass phases recorded by the integrated (probe-tiltmeter) measurement system. The results indicate that at the research site, the radon-tectonic signal is best identified between 25 and 48 h and between 49 and 72 h before the seismic shock. Positive correlations between the tectonic signal and the radon signal associated with the tension phase in the rock mass and negative correlations between the tectonic signal and the radon signal associated with the compression phase allow the description of the behavior of the rock mass before the seismic shock. Mixed correlations (positive and negative) indicate that both the stress and strain phases of the rock mass are recorded. The observed correlations seem particularly promising, as they can be recorded already 1–3 days before the seismic event, allowing an appropriately early response to the expected seismic event.