A Data-Driven Machine Learning Framework Proposal for Selecting Project Management Research Methodologies

Selecting appropriate research methodologies in project management traditionally relies on individual expertise and intuition, leading to variability in study design and reproducibility challenges. To address this gap, we introduce a machine learning-driven recommendation system that objectively matches project management use cases to suitable research methods. Leveraging a curated dataset of 156 instances extracted from over 100 peer-reviewed articles, each example is annotated by one of five application domains (cost estimation, performance analysis, risk assessment, prediction, comparison) and one of seven methodology classes (e.g., regression analysis, time-series analysis, case study). We transformed textual descriptions into TF-IDF features and one-hot-encoded contextual domains, then trained and rigorously tuned three classifiers—random forest, support vector machine, and K-nearest neighbours—using stratified five-fold cross-validation. The random forest model achieved superior performance (93.8% ± 1.9% accuracy, macro-F1 = 0.93, ROC-AUC = 0.94), demonstrating robust generalisability across diverse scenarios, while SVM offered the highest precision on dominant classes. Our framework establishes a transparent, reproducible workflow—from literature extraction and annotation to model evaluation—and promises to standardise methodology selection, enhancing consistency and rigour in project management research design.