journal article·2025-05-09Open access

Risk Assessment of Geological Hazards Based on Multi-Condition Development Scenarios: A Case Study of Huangshi Town, Guangdong Province

Gonghao Duan, Hui Xia, Anqi Du, Juan Ma

Applied Sciences· Volume 15· Issue 10

Abstract

This study focuses on Huangshi Town, Longchuan County, Guangdong Province, as the research area. By utilizing existing data and field surveys, the study identifies geological hazards and risks in the area, deeply analyzes the formation mechanisms and disaster-causing patterns, and systematically summarizes the developmental characteristics and spatial distribution of these hazards. Methodologically, the research combines regular grids and slope units, selecting ten evaluation factors for correlation analysis. The information theory model is used to assess disaster susceptibility. The study further evaluates the impact of three rainfall scenarios—100 mm of rainfall over 24 h, 250 mm of rainfall over 24 h, and 240 mm of effective rainfall over 72 h—on geological disasters in Huangshi Town. As a result, a comprehensive hazard assessment under multiple rainfall scenarios is produced. The findings show that the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) accuracy of the disaster-susceptibility evaluation reaches 0.8739, ensuring high data quality for the geological hazard assessment in Huangshi Town. The zoning results align closely with field survey observations. In conclusion, incorporating rainfall as a triggering factor enhances the accuracy of the susceptibility analysis by better capturing the temporal and spatial patterns of landslide occurrences, thereby offering a more comprehensive understanding of the geological hazard development in the study area.
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Research context

OpenAlex topics: Landslides and related hazards · Remote Sensing and Land Use

SciVX discovery tags are terminology-based. OpenAlex topics are source-provided classifications.

Affiliations

School of Computer Science and Engineering, Wuhan Institute of Technology, Wuhan 430205, China

Technology Innovation Center for Geo-Hazard Monitoring and Risk Early Warning, Ministry of Natural Resources, Beijing 100081, China

Key Laboratory for Geographical Process Analysis & Simulation of Hubei Province, Central China Normal University, Wuhan 430079, China

Funding

Open Fund of Technology Innovation Center for Geo-hazard Monitoring and Risk Early Warning · Young and Middle-aged Talent Program of the Hubei Provincial Department of Education · National Key Research and Development Program of China · Open Fund of Hubei Key Laboratory of Geographic Process Analysis and Simulation · the Central Government Guided Local Funds for Science and Technology Development · the Hubei Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China · the Plan Innovation of Hubei Province

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