journal article·2025-03-17Open access

Signal Super Prediction and Rock Burst Precursor Recognition Framework Based on Guided Diffusion Model with Transformer

Mingyue Weng, Zinan Du, Chuncheng Cai, Enyuan Wang, Huilin Jia, Xiaofei Liu, Jinze Wu, Guorui Su, Yong Liu

Applied Sciences· Volume 15· Issue 6

Abstract

Implementing precise and advanced early warning systems for rock bursts is a crucial approach to maintaining safety during coal mining operations. At present, FEMR data play a key role in monitoring and providing early warnings for rock bursts. Nevertheless, conventional early warning systems are associated with certain limitations, such as a short early warning time and low accuracy of early warning. To enhance the timeliness of early warnings and bolster the safety of coal mines, a novel early warning model has been developed. In this paper, we present a framework for predicting the FEMR signal in deep future and recognizing the rock burst precursor. The framework involves two models, a guided diffusion model with a transformer for FEMR signal super prediction and an auxiliary model for recognizing the rock burst precursor. The framework was applied to the Buertai database, which was recognized as having a rock burst risk. The results demonstrate that the framework can predict 360 h (15 days) of FEMR signal using only 12 h of known signal. If the duration of known data is compressed by adjusting the CWT window length, it becomes possible to predict data over longer future time spans. Additionally, it achieved a maximum recognition accuracy of 98.07%, which realizes the super prediction of rock burst disaster. These characteristics make our framework an attractive approach for rock burst predicting and early warning.
Source: crossref · Quality: baseline

Research context

OpenAlex topics: Seismic Imaging and Inversion Techniques · Hydrocarbon exploration and reservoir analysis · Hydraulic Fracturing and Reservoir Analysis

SciVX discovery tags are terminology-based. OpenAlex topics are source-provided classifications.

Affiliations

Shanghai Datun Energy Resources Co., Ltd., Shanghai 200120, China

School of Safety Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221116, China

Kongzhuang Coal Mine, Shanghai Datun Energy Resources Co., Ltd., Xuzhou 221600, China

Key Laboratory of Gas and Fire Control for Coal Mines, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221116, China

Information Institution of Ministry of Emergency Management, Beijing 100029, China

Ministry of Science, Technology and Environmental Protection, Shanghai Datun Energy Resources Co., Ltd., Shanghai 200120, China

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China · National Key Research and Development Program of China

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