journal article·2026-03-21Open access

An Investigation into Uncertainty Quantification of Shallow Foundation Failure Mechanisms in Horizontally Stratified Layered Soil Strata

Ambrosios-Antonios Savvides

Applied Sciences· Volume 16· Issue 6

Abstract

In light of the evolution of computer science and computational mechanics, an uncertainty analysis of engineering systems has become increasingly feasible. In this paper, the failure of shallow foundations in layered soil continua is examined. It is shown that Gaussian input distributions lead to approximately Gaussian output response distributions even in the presence of an extensive nonlinear relationship between them. Soil configurations that provide larger average values and higher output variability in terms of bearing capacity force are those in which cohesive, stronger soils such as clays exist in the upper layers. Configurations with sandy soils in the upper layers, in several cases, provide greater average values of maximum displacements, rotations, and output variation. In this paper, the probabilities of the Meyerhof spline onset point are also estimated. Therefore, the proposed framework can support shallow foundation design decisions.
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Research context

OpenAlex topics: Geotechnical Engineering and Analysis · Probabilistic and Robust Engineering Design · Geotechnical Engineering and Soil Mechanics

SciVX discovery tags are terminology-based. OpenAlex topics are source-provided classifications.

Affiliations

School of Civil Engineering, National Technical University of Athens, Iroon Polytechniou 8 Zografou Campus, 15780 Zografou, Greece

Division of Aeronautical Engineering, Technical Mechanics, Construction Tests, Infrastructure Works, Hellenic Air Force Flight Academy, Dekelia Air Base, Tatoi, 13671 Acharnes Attikis, Greece

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