Finite Element Modelling of Variable Bitumen Content in Asphalt Mixtures

Bitumen content is a critical factor influencing the long-term performance and durability of asphalt pavements. This study evaluates how different binder percentages affect the mechanical behaviour of asphalt mixtures. Mixtures containing 4.7%, 5.1% and 5.5% binder were tested through an extensive experimental program that included Marshall stability and flow, semi-circular bending, PAV aging, wheel rutting, dynamic modulus, creep compliance and fatigue resistance, supported by finite element simulations. To model the nonlinear viscoplastic and damage behaviour, a Perzyna-type viscoplastic formulation and Lemaitre’s isotropic damage model were applied. Model parameters were further refined using Bayesian estimation, based on 10,000 samples generated with a Markov Chain Monte Carlo procedure employing the Metropolis–Hastings algorithm. The findings indicate that mixtures with 4.7% binder content develop fatigue damage earlier, while increasing the binder above 5.1% leads to greater rutting susceptibility and higher creep compliance, as seen in the 5.5% mixture. Among the three, the 5.1% binder content delivered the best overall performance, reducing plastic strain-related damage by 40% compared with the 4.7% mixture and by 27% compared with the 5.5% mixture.