Performance Analysis of Data-Driven and Deterministic Latency Models in Dynamic Packet-Switched Xhaul Networks

Accurate prediction of maximum flow latency is crucial for ensuring the efficient transport of latency-sensitive fronthaul traffic in packet-switched Xhaul networks while maintaining the reliable operation of 5G and beyond Radio Access Networks (RANs). Deterministic worst-case (WC) models provide strict latency guarantees but tend to overestimate actual delays, resulting in resource over-provisioning and inefficient network utilization. To address this limitation, this study evaluates a data-driven Quantile Regression (QR) model for latency prediction in Time-Sensitive Networking (TSN)-enabled packet-switched Xhaul networks operating under dynamic traffic conditions. The proposed QR model estimates high-percentile (tail) latency values by leveraging both deterministic and queuing-related data features. Its performance is quantitatively compared with the WC estimator across diverse network topologies and traffic load scenarios. The results demonstrate that the QR model achieves significantly higher prediction accuracy—particularly for midhaul flows—while still maintaining compliance with latency constraints. Furthermore, when applied to dynamic Xhaul network operation, QR-based latency predictions enable a reduction in active processing-node utilization compared with WC-based estimations. These findings confirm that data-driven models can effectively complement deterministic methods in supporting latency-aware optimization and adaptive operation of 5G/6G Xhaul networks.