Enhanced Expert Assessment of Asphalt-Layer Parameters Using the CIBRO Method: Implications for Pavement Quality and Monetary Deductions

Each layer of the constructed asphalt pavement is evaluated by measuring its quality indicators, as specified in the construction regulations ĮT ASFALTAS 08, and comparing the obtained values with the corresponding design or threshold values. Due to inherent variability in material properties and systematic or random errors during the production, transport, and installation of the asphalt mixture, the quality indicators of the asphalt layers often deviate from their optimal values. When deviations exceed permissible deviations (PD) or limit values (LV), monetary deductions (MDs) are applied. This study presents normalised values and variation dynamics for 10 quality indicators of the asphalt layer subject to MDs in Lithuania. Using the expertise of 71 road construction professionals and multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) methods, the influence of these deviations on road quality was assessed. The experts ranked all indicators using percentage weights and the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) method. Expert consensus was verified using concordance coefficients and consistency ratios. After eight statistical outliers were excluded, adjusted weights were calculated based on responses from 63 experts. The proposed method, termed CIBRO (Criteria Importance But Rejected Outliers), enables the objective prioritisation of asphalt quality indicators. The CIBRO method enhances expert concordance and results reliability by aligning criterion ranks with the normal distribution, complementing the Kendall rank correlation approach. The findings highlight that insufficient compaction, inadequate layer thickness, and binder content deviations are the most influential factors that affect layer quality. In contrast, deviations in pavement width, friction coefficient, and surface evenness (measured with a 3 m straight edge) were found to have a lesser impact. The CIBRO method offers a robust approach to assessing the importance of the quality of the asphalt layer, supporting improvements in construction standards and pavement assessment systems.