journal article·2025-02-10Open access

Risk Evaluation of Hazardous Chemical Road Transportation Accidents Based on a Combined Empowerment-Cloud Model

Haoyu Xu, Yong Liu, Zhihui Cheng, Qianqian Xiang, Wenhe Wang

Applied Sciences· Volume 15· Issue 4

Abstract

To improve the accuracy of the risk evaluation results of hazardous chemical road transportation systems, an accident risk evaluation model based on the combined weight-cloud model is proposed to address the problems of ambiguity and randomness in the risk factors for hazardous chemical road transportation accidents. First, incorporating the risk factor identification results, the risk evaluation index system for hazardous chemical road transportation accidents is established. On the basis of determining the subjective and objective weights of the indices by using the analytic hierarchy process and entropy weight method, the comprehensive weights of the evaluation indices are calculated by the linear weighting method. Then, the weighting results are combined with the cloud model to calculate the risk level of the evaluation indices at all levels and to output the results in the form of a risk cloud diagram to visually determine the risk level of hazardous chemical road transportation. Finally, the model is applied to evaluate the accident risk in an example. The results demonstrate that the model is both practical and applicable in the evaluation of the risk of hazardous chemical road transportation accidents. The evaluation results can provide a valuable reference for hazardous chemical road transportation enterprises to prevent accidents.
Source: crossref · Quality: baseline

Research context

OpenAlex topics: Risk and Safety Analysis · Occupational Health and Safety Research

SciVX discovery tags are terminology-based. OpenAlex topics are source-provided classifications.

Affiliations

School of Resource, Environment and Safety Engineering, Hunan University of Science and Technology, Xiangtan 411201, China

Work Safety Key Laboratory on Prevention and Control of Gas and Roof Disasters for Southern Coal Mines, Hunan University of Science and Technology, Xiangtan 411201, China

Hunan Provincial Key Laboratory of Safe Mining Techniques of Coal Mines, Hunan University of Science and Technology, Xiangtan 411201, China

College of Safety Engineering, Chongqing University of Science & Technology, Chongqing 401331, China

Funding

Scientific Research Program of Hunan Provincial Education Department

References (28)

Show source-provided references
1. Study on Risk Evaluation and Management for Road Transport of Dangerous Goods Based on Index Model
2. Trends of hazardous material accidents (HMAs) during highway transportation from 2013 to 2018 in China10.1016/j.jlp.2020.104150 ↗
3. Applying fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method on road transport system of liquid chlorine
4. Application of Grey Theory in Safety Evaluation of Dangerous Chemicals
5. Risk assessment of water inrush in tunnel through water-rich fault based on AHP-Cloud model10.1080/19475705.2020.1722760 ↗
6. Evaluation Method of Highway Safety Maintenance Based on the Two-Dimensional Cloud Model Considering Equilibrium10.1088/1755-1315/587/1/012017 ↗
7. Bayesian network-based risk assessment for hazmat transportation on the Middle Route of the South-to-North Water Transfer Project in China10.1007/s00477-015-1113-6 ↗
8. Modeling of Ship Collision Risk Based on Cloud Model10.1109/ACCESS.2020.3042811 ↗
9. Safety grade evaluation of road vehicles for hazardous chemicals transportation based on fuzzy analytic hierarchy process
10. Quantitative Assessment of Safety and Health Risks in HAZMAT Road Transport Using a Hybrid Approach: A Case Study in Tehran
11. Ensuring safety when transporting dangerous goods within classified facilities
12. Risk evaluation system of dangerous goods transport
13. Research on the prediction model of hazardous chemical road transportation accidents10.1016/j.jlp.2023.105103 ↗
14. A framework for risk assessment and decision-making strategies in dangerous good transportation10.1016/S0304-3894(02)00034-1 ↗
15. Risk analysis for road and rail transport of hazardous materials: A GIS approach10.1016/j.jlp.2004.08.011 ↗
16. Evidence-based accident prevention and its application to hazardous chemical storage accident prevention10.1016/j.psep.2022.02.020 ↗
17. Vi1chez, J.A., Sevilla, S., Montiel, H., and Casal, J. (1995). Historical Analysis of Accidents in Chemical Plants and in the Transportation of Hazardous Materials. J. Loss Prev. Process Ind., 8, 87–96.10.1016/0950-4230(95)00006-M ↗
18. Uncertainty analysis of accident causality model using Credal Network with IDM method: A case study of hazardous material road transportation accidents10.1016/j.psep.2021.12.021 ↗
19. Benchmark study on methods to determine collapse failure probabilities of redundant structures10.1016/0167-4730(82)90018-2 ↗
20. Wang, Y.L. (2003). Systems Engineering, Machinery Industry Press. [2nd ed.]. (In Chinese).
21. Evaluation on comprehensive disaster-bearing degree of city cluster based on entropy-weighted cloud model
22. Entropy method for determination of weight of evaluating indicators in fuzzy synthetic evaluation for water quality assessment10.1016/S1001-0742(06)60032-6 ↗
23. An optimal weights combination methods considering both subjective and objective weight information
24. Risk uncertainty analysis in shield tunnel projects10.1016/j.tust.2022.104899 ↗
25. Study on assessment method natural gas pipeline corrosion based on two-dimensional cloud model
26. Cloud model evaluation of poisoning and suffocation accidents in underground mines based on combined weighting
27. Supervision and evaluation of the regional ecological security based on normal cloud model
28. Research on the safety evaluation of artillery shell on highway transportation based on combination weighting-cloud model