Off-Grid Power Plant Load Management System Applied in a Rural Area of Africa
Source abstract
Abstract
To address the energy shortage problem in rural areas, significant attention has been paid to off-grid solar power plants. However, ensuring the security of these plants, improving the utilization rate of energy and, finally, proposing a sustainable energy development scheme for rural areas are still challenges. Under this, this work proposes a novel regression model-based stand-alone power plant load management system. This not only shows great potential in increasing load prediction in the real-time process but also provides effective anomaly detection for improving energy efficiency. The proposed predictor is a hybrid model that can effectively reduce the influence of fitting problems. Meanwhile, the proposed detector exhibits an efficient pattern matching process. That is, for the first time, a support vector machine (SVM) and the fruit fly optimization algorithm (FOA) are combined and applied to the field of energy consumption anomaly detection. This method was applied to manage the load of an off-grid solar power plant in a rural area in Tanzania with more than 50 households. In this paper, both the prediction and detection of our method are proven to exhibit better results than those of some previous works, and a comprehensive discussion on the establishment of a real-time energy management system has also been proposed.
Source: crossref · Quality: baseline
Research context
OpenAlex topics: Smart Grid Energy Management · Electricity Theft Detection Techniques · Energy Load and Power Forecasting
SciVX discovery tags are terminology-based. OpenAlex topics are source-provided classifications.
Affiliations
Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, Seoul National University, Seoul 08826, Korea
Innovative Technology and Energy Center, Nelson Mandela African Institution of Science and Technology, Arusha 447, Tanzania
School of Materials Energy Water and Environmental Sciences, Nelson Mandela African Institution of Science and Technology, Arusha 447, Tanzania
Institute of Advanced Machinery and Design, Seoul National University, Seoul 08826, Korea
Funding
Ministry of Science, ICT and Future Planning · MSIT
References (28)
Show source-provided references
1. Low-cost far-field wireless electrical load monitoring system applied in an off-grid rural area of Tanzania10.1016/j.scs.2020.102209 ↗
2. Energy Information Administration (US) (2016). International Energy Outlook 2016, with Projections to 2040.
3. Review of solar PV policies, interventions and diffusion in East Africa10.1016/j.rser.2015.02.046 ↗
4. (2020, June 17). World Loses $89.3 Billion to Electricity Theft Annually, $58.7 Billion in Emerging Markets. Available online: https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/world-loses-893-billion-to-electricity-theft-annually-587-billion-in-emerging-markets-300006515.html/.
5. Real-time prediction and anomaly detection of electrical load in a residential community10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.114145 ↗
6. Zhang, Y., Chen, W.W., and Black, J. (2011, January 2–6). Anomaly detection in premise energy consumption data. Proceedings of the 2011 IEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting, Quebec, QC, Canada.10.1109/PES.2011.6039858 ↗
7. Hybrid adaptive techniques for electric-load forecast using ANN and ARIMA
8. Combining neural networks and ARIMA models for hourly temperature forecast
9. Comparison of ARIMA and artificial neural networks models for stock price prediction10.1155/2014/614342 ↗
10. Comparison of two new ARIMA ANN and ARIMA-Kalman hybrid methods for wind speed prediction10.1016/j.apenergy.2012.04.001 ↗
11. Abhishek Singh Hybrid ARIMA-ANN Modelling for Forecasting the Price of Robusta Coffee in India10.20546/ijcmas.2017.607.207 ↗
12. Drift-aware methodology for anomaly detection in smart grid10.1109/ACCESS.2019.2891315 ↗
13. Electricity theft detection in AMI using customers’ consumption patterns10.1109/TSG.2015.2425222 ↗
14. Analytical investigation of autoencoder-based methods for unsupervised anomaly detection in building energy data10.1016/j.apenergy.2017.12.005 ↗
15. Pereira, J., and Margarida, S. (2018, January 17–20). Unsupervised anomaly detection in energy time series data using variational recurrent autoencoders with attention. Proceedings of the 17th IEEE International Conference on Machine Learning and Applications, Orlando, FL, USA.10.1109/ICMLA.2018.00207 ↗
16. SARAA: Semi-supervised learning for automated residential appliance annotation
17. Sample Efficient Home Power Anomaly Detection in Real Time Using Semi-Supervised Learning10.1109/ACCESS.2019.2943667 ↗
18. The causal relationship between taxes and expenditures in the G7 countries: Cointegration and error-correction models10.1080/135048595357744 ↗
19. Hybrid of ARIMA and SVMs for short-term load forecasting10.1016/j.egypro.2012.01.229 ↗
20. Counterexamples to parsimony and BIC10.1007/BF00053369 ↗
21. Anomaly detection: A survey10.1145/1541880.1541882 ↗
22. Recovering the number of clusters in data sets with noise features using feature rescaling factors10.1016/j.ins.2015.06.039 ↗
23. Parameters Optimization of SVMBased on Improved FOA and Its Application in Fault Diagnosis10.17706/jsw.10.11.1301-1309 ↗
24. A new fruit fly optimization algorithm: Taking the financial distress model as an example10.1016/j.knosys.2011.07.001 ↗
25. Application of the cross-entropy method to clustering and vector quantization10.1007/s10898-006-9041-0 ↗
26. Glantz, S.A., Slinker, B.K., and Neilands, T.B. (1990). Primer of Applied Regression and Analysis of Variance, McGraw-Hill.
27. Components of information for multiple resolution comparison between maps that share a real variable10.1007/s10651-007-0043-y ↗
28. Real-time detection of anomalous power consumption10.1016/j.rser.2014.01.088 ↗