Emergency Resource Dispatch Scheme for Ice Disasters Based on Pre-Disaster Prediction and Dynamic Scheduling

To address the challenge of dispatching emergency resources for community residents under extreme ice disaster, this paper proposes an emergency resource dispatch strategy based on pre-disaster prediction and dynamic scheduling. First, the fast Newman algorithm is employed to cluster communities, optimizing the preprocessing of resource scheduling and reducing scheduling costs. Subsequently, mobile energy storage vehicles and mobile water storage vehicles are introduced based on the ice disaster trajectory prediction to enhance the efficiency and accuracy of post-disaster resource supply. A grouped scheduling strategy is adopted to reduce cross-regional resource flow, and the dispatch routes of mobile energy storage and water vehicles are dynamically adjusted based on real-time traffic network conditions. Simulations on the IEEE-33 node system validate the feasibility and advantages of the proposed strategies. The results demonstrate that the grouped dispatch and scheduling strategies increase user satisfaction by 24.73%, average state of charge (SOC) by 30.23%, and water storage by 31.88% compared to global scheduling. These improvements significantly reduce the cost of community energy self-sustainability, enhance the satisfaction of community residents, and ensure system stability across various disaster scenarios.