Machine-Learning-Based Rollover Risk Prediction for Autonomous Trucks: A Dynamic Stability Analysis

In response to the 2023 mandate requiring electronic stability control (ESC) for trucks in South Korea, domestic manufacturers have called for a relaxation of the maximum safe slope angle to reduce production costs. However, limited research exists on the quantitative relationship between ESC implementation and vehicle rollover stability under relaxed safety standards. This study addresses this gap by conducting dynamic simulations of standardized rollover tests to evaluate the static stability factor (SSF) and by developing a machine-learning-based model for predicting rollover risk. The model incorporates planned path curvature and driving speed to compute lateral acceleration, which serves as a key input for predicting the lateral load transfer ratio (LTR), a critical indicator of vehicle stability. Among several models tested, the recurrent neural network (RNN) achieved the highest accuracy in LTR prediction. The results highlight the effectiveness of integrating data-driven models into dynamic stability assessment frameworks, offering practical insights for optimizing route planning and speed control—particularly in autonomous freight vehicle applications.