journal article·2024-10-15Open access

Fault Prediction for Rotating Mechanism of Satellite Based on SSA and Improved Informer

Qing Lan, Ye Zhu, Baojun Lin, Yizheng Zuo, Yi Lai

Applied Sciences· Volume 14· Issue 20

Abstract

The rotational mechanism, which plays a critical role in energy supply, payload antenna pointing, and attitude stabilization in satellites is essential for the overall functionality and performance stability of the satellite. This paper takes the space turntable of a specific satellite model as an example, utilizing high-frequency and high-dimensional telemetry data. An improved informer model is used to predict and diagnose features related to the turntable’s operational health, including temperature, rotational speed, and current. In this paper, we present a forecasting method for turntable temperature data using a hybrid model that combines singular spectrum analysis with an enhanced informer model (SSA-Informer), comparing the results with threshold limits to determine if faults occur in the satellite’s rotational mechanism. First, during telemetry data processing, singular spectrum analysis (SSA) is proposed to retain the long-term and oscillatory trends in the original data while filtering out noise from interference. Next, the improved informer model predicts the turntable temperature based on the mapping relationship between the turntable subsystem’s motor current and temperature, with multiple experiments conducted to obtain optimal parameters. Finally, temperature thresholds generated from the prediction results are used to forecast faults in the rotational mechanism over different time periods. The proposed method is compared with current popular time-series prediction models. The experimental results show that the model achieves high prediction accuracy, with reductions of at least 10% in both the MAE and MSE than CNN-LSTM, DA-RNN, TCN-SE and informer, demonstrating the outstanding advantages of the SSA and improved informer-based method in predicting temperature faults in satellite rotational mechanisms.
Source: crossref · Quality: baseline

Research context

OpenAlex topics: Fault Detection and Control Systems · Anomaly Detection Techniques and Applications · Risk and Safety Analysis

SciVX discovery tags are terminology-based. OpenAlex topics are source-provided classifications.

Affiliations

Innovation Academy for Microsatellites of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shanghai 201304, China

University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 101408, China

Key Lab for Satellite Digitalization Technology of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shanghai 200031, China

Funding

Excellent Fund of Youth Innovation Promotion Association of Chinese Academy of Sciences

References (35)

Show source-provided references
1. A novel data-driven method for fault detection and isolation of control moment gyroscopes onboard satellites10.1016/j.actaastro.2020.11.004 ↗
2. Chen, Z. (2021, January 15–17). Satellite Reaction Wheel Fault Detection Based on Adaptive Threshold Observer. Proceedings of the 2021 Global Reliability and Prognostics and Health Management (PHM-Nanjing), Nanjing, China.10.1109/PHM-Nanjing52125.2021.9612876 ↗
3. The development of an adaptive threshold for model-based fault detection of a nonlinear electro-hydraulic system10.1016/j.conengprac.2004.11.014 ↗
4. Fault detection for nonlinear process with deterministic disturbances: A just-in-time learning based data driven method10.1109/TCYB.2016.2574754 ↗
5. An improved mixture of probabilistic PCA for nonlinear data-driven process monitoring10.1109/TCYB.2017.2771229 ↗
6. A framework for on-line trend extraction and fault diagnosis10.1016/j.engappai.2010.01.027 ↗
7. A PCA and two-stage Bayesian sensor fusion approach for diagnosing electrical and mechanical faults in induction motors10.1109/TIE.2019.2891453 ↗
8. Multiple-fault diagnosis of the Tennessee Eastman process based on system decomposition and dynamic PLS10.1021/ie049624u ↗
9. Condition monitoring and fault diagnosis of induction motor using support vector machine10.1080/15325008.2015.1131762 ↗
10. Fault detection and isolation of non-Gaussian and nonlinear processes based on statistics pattern analysis and the k-nearest neighbor method10.1021/acsomega.2c01279 ↗
11. Wang, Z., Zarader, J.L., and Argentieri, S. (2012, January 5–7). A novel aircraft fault diagnosis and prognosis system based on Gaussian mixture models. Proceedings of the 2012 12th International Conference on Control Automation Robotics & Vision (ICARCV), Guangzhou, China.10.1109/ICARCV.2012.6485422 ↗
12. Intelligent fault diagnosis for chemical processes using deep learning multimodel fusion10.1109/TCYB.2020.3038832 ↗
13. Fragment anomaly detection with prediction and statistical analysis for satellite telemetry10.1109/ACCESS.2017.2754447 ↗
14. Liu, L., Liu, D., Zhang, Y., and Peng, Y. (2016). Effective sensor selection and data anomaly detection for condition monitoring of aircraft engines. Sensors, 16.10.3390/s16050623 ↗
15. Fault detection and isolation of the attitude control subsystem of spacecraft formation flying using extended Kalman filters10.1080/00207179.2015.1039591 ↗
16. Network anomaly detection based on wavelet analysis10.1155/2009/837601 ↗
17. Chen, H., Cheng, H., Jiang, G., and Yoshihira, K. (2008, January 15–19). Exploiting local and global invariants for the management of large scale information systems. Proceedings of the 2008 Eighth IEEE International Conference on Data Mining, Pisa, Italy.10.1109/ICDM.2008.51 ↗
18. UAV quadrotor fault detection and isolation using artificial neural network and Hammerstein-Wiener model10.24846/v29i3y202005 ↗
19. Zhou, C., and Paffenroth, R.C. (2017, January 13–17). Anomaly detection with robust deep autoencoders. Proceedings of the 23rd ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining, Halifax, NS, Canada.10.1145/3097983.3098052 ↗
20. Yuan, X., and Qiao, Y. (2024). Diffusion-ts: Interpretable diffusion for general time series generation. arXiv.
21. Meng, H., Zhang, Y., Li, Y., and Zhao, H. (2020). Spacecraft anomaly detection via transformer reconstruction error. Proceedings of the International Conference on Aerospace System Science and Engineering 2019, Springer.10.1007/978-981-15-1773-0_28 ↗
22. Research on vibration monitoring and fault diagnosis of rotating machinery based on internet of things technology10.1515/nleng-2021-0019 ↗
23. Conceptual and empirical comparison of dimensionality reduction algorithms (pca, kpca, lda, mds, svd, lle, isomap, le, ica, t-sne)10.1016/j.cosrev.2021.100378 ↗
24. A Hybrid Short-Term Power Load Forecasting Model Based on the Singular Spectrum Analysis and Autoregressive Model
25. Vahabie, A.H., Yousefi, M.M.R., Araabi, B.N., Lucas, C., and Barghinia, S. (2007, January 1–5). Combination of singular spectrum analysis and autoregressive model for short term load forecasting. Proceedings of the 2007 IEEE Lausanne Power Tech, Lausanne, Switzerland.10.1109/PCT.2007.4538467 ↗
26. Xu, K., Liang, X., and Tian, X. (2022, January 24–26). Water Level Prediction Based on SSA-LSTM Model. Proceedings of the 2022 7th International Conference on Computational Intelligence and Applications (ICCIA), Nanjing, China.10.1109/ICCIA55271.2022.9828457 ↗
27. Zhou, H., Zhang, S., Peng, J., Zhang, S., Li, J., Xiong, H., and Zhang, W. (2021, January 2–9). Informer: Beyond efficient transformer for long sequence time-series forecasting. Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence, Virtual Event.10.1609/aaai.v35i12.17325 ↗
28. Chen, S., and Lu, N. (2022, January 24–27). CNN-Informer-Based Remaining Useful Life Prediction for Electrical Devices. Proceedings of the 2022 4th International Conference on Industrial Artificial Intelligence (IAI), Shenyang, China.10.1109/IAI55780.2022.9976668 ↗
29. Ma, J., and Dan, J. (2023). Long-Term Structural State Trend Forecasting Based on an FFT–Informer Model. Appl. Sci., 13.10.3390/app13042553 ↗
30. The distribution and quantiles of the range of a Wiener process
31. Prediction of heating and cooling loads based on light gradient boosting machine algorithms10.1016/j.buildenv.2023.110252 ↗
32. A CNN–LSTM model for gold price time-series forecasting10.1007/s00521-020-04867-x ↗
33. Xu, L., Zhang, L., Sun, R., Zhang, N., Liu, P., and Guan, P. (2023). Multi-step Probabilistic Load Forecasting for University Buildings Based on DA-RNN-MDN. Proceedings of the International Conference on Intelligent Computing, Springer.10.1007/978-981-99-4755-3_57 ↗
34. Chen, W., Zhang, R., Shi, C., Zhu, Y., and Lin, X. (2022). A complement method for magnetic data based on TCN-SE model. Sensors, 22.10.3390/s22218277 ↗
35. Transformer in transformer