Research on Heat Transfer Coefficient Prediction of Printed Circuit Plate Heat Exchanger Based on Deep Learning

The PCHE, as an efficient heat exchanger, plays a crucial role in the storage and regasification of LNG. However, among the existing studies, those that integrate this field with deep learning are scarce. Moreover, research on explainability remains insufficient. To address these gaps, this study first constructs a dataset of heat transfer coefficients (h) through numerical simulations. Pearson correlation analysis is employed to screen out the most influential features. In terms of predictive modeling, the study compares five traditional machine learning models alongside deep learning models such as long short-term memory neural networks (LSTMs), gated recurrent units (GRUs), and Transformer. To further enhance prediction accuracy, three attention mechanisms—self-attention mechanism (SA), squeeze-and-excitation mechanism (SE), and local attention mechanism (LA)—are incorporated into the deep learning models. The experimental results demonstrate that the artificial neural network achieves the best performance among the traditional models, with a prediction accuracy for straight-path h reaching 0.891799 (R2). When comparing deep learning models augmented with attention mechanisms against the baseline models, both LSTM–SE in the linear flow channel and Transformer–LA in the hexagonal flow channel exhibit improved prediction accuracy. Notably, in predicting the heat transfer coefficient of the hexagonal channel, the determination coefficient (R2) of the Transformer–LA model reaches 0.9993, indicating excellent prediction performance. Additionally, this study introduces the SHAP interpretable analysis method to elucidate model predictions, revealing the contributions of different features to model outputs. For instance, in a straight flow channel, the hydraulic diameter (Dh) contributes most significantly to the model output, whereas in a hexagonal flow channel, wall temperature (Tinw) and heat flux (Qw) play more prominent roles. In conclusion, this study offers novel insights and methodologies for PCHE performance prediction by leveraging various machine learning and deep learning models enhanced with attention mechanisms and incorporating explainable analysis methods. These findings not only validate the efficacy of machine learning and deep learning in complex heat exchanger modeling but also provide critical theoretical support for engineering optimization.