journal article·2025-02-04Open access

Enhanced Multi-Class Driver Injury Severity Prediction Using a Hybrid Deep Learning and Random Forest Approach

Çiğdem İnan Acı, Gizen Mutlu, Murat Ozen, Mehmet Acı

Applied Sciences· Volume 15· Issue 3

Abstract

Predicting driver injury severity and identifying factors influencing crash outcomes are crucial for developing effective traffic safety measures. This study focuses on estimating driver injury severity (uninjured, injured, or killed) and determining critical factors affecting crash outcomes. A hybrid framework combining Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) and Random Forest (RF) is proposed, where a DNN extracts features and RF performs the final classification, leveraging ensemble methods. The results were compared with those of well-known methods (e.g., kNN, XGBoost), with the hybrid approach achieving the best performance (0.92 accuracy, 0.89 F1-macro, 0.91 F1-micro scores) in predicting injury severity. The results showed that crash type, vehicle type, driver fault, intersection type, season, time, and road type had the greatest impact, while factors like pavement condition and driver gender had minimal influence. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to combine DNN-based feature extraction with RF classification in the context of traffic injury severity prediction. The framework offers a new approach for drivers and policymakers, providing a deeper understanding of driver injury severity prediction and its underlying factors.
Source: crossref · Quality: baseline

Research context

OpenAlex topics: Traffic and Road Safety · Autonomous Vehicle Technology and Safety · Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques

SciVX discovery tags are terminology-based. OpenAlex topics are source-provided classifications.

Affiliations

Department of Computer Engineering, Mersin University, 33343 Mersin, Türkiye

Department of Civil Engineering, Mersin University, 33343 Mersin, Türkiye

References (30)

Show source-provided references
1. A Machine-Learning Method for Improving Crash Injury Severity Analysis: A Case Study of Work Zone Crashes in Cairo, Egypt10.1080/17457300.2020.1746814 ↗
2. Significance of Automated Driving in Japan10.1002/9781119226444.ch28 ↗
3. Investigating Occupant Injury Severity of Truck-Involved Crashes Based on Vehicle Types on a Mountainous Freeway: A Hierarchical Bayesian Random Intercept Approach10.1016/j.aap.2020.105654 ↗
4. Examining Factors Affecting Driver Injury Severity in Speeding-Related Crashes: A Comparative Study across Driver Age Groups10.1080/17457300.2023.2300458 ↗
5. Ding, T., Yuan, L., Li, Z., Xi, J., and Zhang, K. (2023). Accident Probability Prediction and Analysis of Bus Drivers Based on Occupational Characteristics. Appl. Sci., 14.10.3390/app14010279 ↗
6. A Correlated Random Parameters with Heterogeneity in Means Approach of Deer-Vehicle Collisions and Resulting Injury-Severities
7. A Random Parameters Copula-Based Binary Logit-Generalized Ordered Logit Model with Parameterized Dependency: Application to Active Traveler Injury Severity Analysis
8. Investigating the Injury Severity of Single-Vehicle Truck Crashes in a Developing Country10.1016/j.aap.2020.105444 ↗
9. Temporal Stability of Driver Injury Severities in Animal-Vehicle Collisions: A Random Parameters with Heterogeneity in Means (and Variances) Approach
10. Exploring the Impacts of Built Environment on Pedestrian Injury Severity Involving Distracted Driving10.1016/j.jsr.2021.11.001 ↗
11. Temporal Instability and the Analysis of Highway Accident Data
12. Bin Applications of Deep Learning in Severity Prediction of Traffic Accidents10.1007/978-981-10-8016-6_58 ↗
13. Lin, C., Wu, D., Liu, H., Xia, X., and Bhattarai, N. (2020). Factor Identification and Prediction for Teen Driver Crash Severity Using Machine Learning: A Case Study. Appl. Sci., 10.10.3390/app10051675 ↗
14. Pillajo-Quijia, G., Arenas-Ramírez, B., González-Fernández, C., and Aparicio-Izquierdo, F. (2020). Influential Factors on Injury Severity for Drivers of Light Trucks and Vans with Machine Learning Methods. Sustainability, 12.10.3390/su12041324 ↗
15. Predicting Multiple Types of Traffic Accident Severity with Explanations: A Multi-Task Deep Learning Framework10.1016/j.ssci.2021.105522 ↗
16. Injury Severity Prediction Model for Two-Wheeler Crashes at Mid-Block Road Sections10.1080/13588265.2020.1806644 ↗
17. Comparison of Traffic Accident Injury Severity Prediction Models with Explainable Machine Learning10.1080/19427867.2023.2214758 ↗
18. Causal Analysis and Classification of Traffic Crash Injury Severity Using Machine Learning Algorithms10.1007/s42421-023-00076-9 ↗
19. Traffic Accident Severity Prediction with Ensemble Learning Methods10.1016/j.compeleceng.2024.109101 ↗
20. Synthetic Minority Oversampling Using Edited Displacement-Based k-Nearest Neighbors10.1016/j.asoc.2023.110895 ↗
21. Approaches to Multi-Objective Feature Selection: A Systematic Literature Review10.1109/ACCESS.2020.3007291 ↗
22. Sullivan, W. (2017). Machine Learning For Beginners Guide Algorithms: Supervised & Unsupervised Learning. Decision Tree & Random Forest Introduction, Healthy Pragmatic Solutions, Inc.
23. Leukocyte Classification Based on Feature Selection Using Extra Trees Classifier: A Transfer Learning Approach
24. Batch Normalization Embeddings for Deep Domain Generalization10.1016/j.patcog.2022.109115 ↗
25. Surek, G.A.S., Seman, L.O., Stefenon, S.F., Mariani, V.C., and dos Coelho, L.S. (2023). Video-Based Human Activity Recognition Using Deep Learning Approaches. Sensors, 23.10.3390/s23146384 ↗
26. Khan, M.S.U., Pagani, A., Liwicki, M., Stricker, D., and Afzal, M.Z. (2022). Three-Dimensional Reconstruction from a Single RGB Image Using Deep Learning: A Review. J. Imaging, 8.10.3390/jimaging8090225 ↗
27. Kim, Y., Chae, M., Cho, N., Gil, H., and Lee, H. (2022). Machine Learning-Based Prediction Models of Acute Respiratory Failure in Patients with Acute Pesticide Poisoning. Mathematics, 10.10.3390/math10244633 ↗
28. A Systemic Comparison between Using Augmented Data and Synthetic Data as Means of Enhancing Wafermap Defect Classification10.1016/j.compind.2022.103809 ↗
29. Palanivinayagam, A., El-Bayeh, C.Z., and Damaševičius, R. (2023). Twenty Years of Machine-Learning-Based Text Classification: A Systematic Review. Algorithms, 16.10.3390/a16050236 ↗
30. A Review of Evaluation Metrics in Machine Learning Algorithms10.1007/978-3-031-35314-7_2 ↗