journal article·2022-10-21Open access

Hybrid Genetic Algorithm−Based BP Neural Network Models Optimize Estimation Performance of Reference Crop Evapotranspiration in China

Anzhen Qin, Zhilong Fan, Liuzeng Zhang

Applied Sciences· Volume 12· Issue 20

Abstract

Precise estimation of reference evapotranspiration (ET0) is of significant importance in hydrologic processes. In this study, a genetic algorithm (GA) optimized back propagation (BP) neural network model was developed to estimate ET0 using different combinations of meteorological data across various climatic zones and seasons in China. Fourteen climatic locations were selected to represent five major climates. Meteorological datasets in 2018–2020, including maximum, minimum and mean air temperature (Tmax, Tmin, Tmean, °C) and diurnal temperature range (∆T, °C), solar radiation (Ra, MJ m−2 d−1), sunshine duration (S, h), relative humidity (RH, %) and wind speed (U2, m s−1), were first subjected to correlation analysis to determine which variables were suitable as input parameters. Datasets in 2018 and 2019 were utilized for training the models, while datasets in 2020 were for testing. Coefficients of determination (r2) of 0.50 and 0.70 were adopted as threshold values for selection of correlated variables to run the models. Results showed that U2 had the least r2 with ET0, followed by ∆T. Tmax had the greatest r2 with ET0, followed by Tmean, Ra and Tmin. GA significantly improved the performance of BP models across different climatic zones, with the accuracy of GABP models significantly higher than that of BP models. GABP0.5 model (input variables based on r2 > 0.50) had the best ET0 estimation performance for different seasons and significantly reduced estimation errors, especially for autumn and winter seasons whose errors were larger with other BP and GABP models. GABP0.5 model using radiation/temperature data is highly recommended as a promising tool for modelling and predicting ET0 in various climatic locations.
Source: crossref · Quality: baseline

Research context

OpenAlex topics: Plant Water Relations and Carbon Dynamics · Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics · Greenhouse Technology and Climate Control

SciVX discovery tags are terminology-based. OpenAlex topics are source-provided classifications.

Affiliations

State Key Laboratory of Aridland Crop Science, Gansu Agricultural University, Lanzhou 730070, China

Institute of Farmland Irrigation, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Key Laboratory of Crop Water Use and Regulation, Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, Xinxiang 453002, China

College of Software, Henan Normal University, Xinxiang 453007, China

Funding

State Key Laboratory of Aridland Crop Science, Gansu Agricultural University · Central Public-Interest Scientific Institution Basal Research Fund, Institute of Farmland Irrigation of CAAS

References (61)

Show source-provided references
1. Dold, C., Heitman, J., Giese, G., Howard, A., Havlin, J., and Sauer, T. (2019). Upscaling evapotranspiration with parsimonious models in a North Carolina Vineyard. Agronomy, 9.10.3390/agronomy9030152 ↗
2. Neural computing modelling of the crop water stress index10.1016/j.agwat.2020.106259 ↗
3. Support vector machine enhanced empirical reference evapotranspiration estimation with limited meteorological parameters10.1016/j.compag.2020.105577 ↗
4. Simplified limited data Penman’s ET0 formulas adapted for humid locations10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.03.021 ↗
5. Comparison of support vector machine and extreme gradient boosting for predicting daily global solar radiation using temperature and precipitation in humid subtropical climates: A case study in China10.1016/j.enconman.2018.02.087 ↗
6. Using MARS, SVM, GEP and empirical equations for estimation of monthly mean reference evapotranspiration10.1016/j.compag.2017.05.002 ↗
7. Evaluation and development of empirical models for estimating daily and monthly mean daily diffuse horizontal solar radiation for different climatic regions of China10.1016/j.rser.2019.01.040 ↗
8. Performance evaluation of hybrid Wavelet-ANN and Wavelet-ANFIS models for estimating evapotranspiration in arid regions of India10.1007/s00521-015-2055-0 ↗
9. Evaluation of reference crop evapotranspiration equations in various climates10.1007/s11269-009-9553-8 ↗
10. Reference evapotranspiration estimation and modeling of the Punjab Northern India using deep learning10.1016/j.compag.2018.11.031 ↗
11. Daily reference evapotranspiration estimates by artifcial neural networks technique and empirical equations using limited input climate variables10.1016/j.compag.2016.11.011 ↗
12. Elbeltagi, A., Nagy, A., Mohammed, S., Pande, C., Kumar, M., Bhat, S., Zsembeli, J., Huzsvai, L., Tamás, J., and Kovács, E. (2022). Combination of limited meteorological data for predicting reference crop evapotranspiration using artificial neural network method. Agronomy, 12.10.3390/agronomy12020516 ↗
13. Dimitriadou, S., and Nikolakopoulos, K. (2022). Artificial neural networks for the prediction of the reference evapotranspiration of the Peloponnese Peninsula, Greece. Water, 14.10.3390/w14132027 ↗
14. Estimation of reference evapotranspiration in Brazil with limited meteorological data using ANN and SVM—A new approach10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.03.028 ↗
15. Estimating evapotranspiration from temperature and wind speed data using artificial and wavelet neural networks (WNNs)10.1016/j.agwat.2014.03.014 ↗
16. Estimating daily reference evapotranspiration based on limited meteorological data using deep learning and classical machine learning methods10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.125286 ↗
17. Jiao, P., and Hu, S. (2022). Optimal alternative for quantifying reference evapotranspiration in Northern Xinjiang. Water, 14.10.3390/w14010001 ↗
18. Evapotranspiration evaluation models based on machine learning algorithms–A comparative study10.1016/j.agwat.2019.03.015 ↗
19. An extreme learning machine approach for modeling evapotranspiration using extrinsic inputs10.1016/j.compag.2016.01.016 ↗
20. Assessment of SVM, empirical and ANN based solar radiation prediction models with most influencing input parameters10.1016/j.renene.2017.12.005 ↗
21. Evaluation of twelve evapotranspiration products from machine learning, remote sensing and land surface models over conterminous United States10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.124105 ↗
22. Multi-station artificial intelligence based ensemble modeling of reference evapotranspiration using pan evaporation measurements10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.123958 ↗
23. Evaluation of SVM, ELM and four tree-based ensemble models for predicting daily reference evapotranspiration using limited meteorological data in different climates of China10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.08.019 ↗
24. Short-term forecasting of daily reference evapotranspiration using the reduced–set Penman–Monteith model and public weather forecasts10.1016/j.agwat.2018.09.036 ↗
25. Kim, N., Kim, K., Lee, S., Cho, J., and Lee, Y. (2020). Retrieval of daily reference evapotranspiration for croplands in South Korea using machine learning with satellite images and numerical weather prediction data. Remote Sens., 12.10.3390/rs12213642 ↗
26. Monthly reference crop evapotranspiration estimation model based on air temperature and DC-BP-NN in Hexi corridor
27. Analysis of reference evapotranspiration estimation methods using temperature data
28. Extreme learning machine for reference crop evapotranspiration estimation: Model optimization and spatiotemporal assessment across different climates in China10.1016/j.compag.2021.106294 ↗
29. Neural networks and genetic algorithm approach for nonlinear evaporation and evapotranspiration modeling10.1016/j.jhydrol.2007.12.014 ↗
30. Liu, Q., Wu, Z., Cui, N., Zhang, W., Wang, Y., Hu, X., Gong, D., and Zheng, S. (2022). Genetic algorithm–optimized extreme learning machine model for estimating daily reference evapotranspiration in Southwest China. Atmosphere, 13.10.3390/atmos13060971 ↗
31. Zhang, Z., Zeng, X., Li, G., Lu, B., Xiao, M., and Wang, B. (2022). Summer precipitation forecast using an optimized artificial neural network with a genetic algorithm for Yangtze–Huaihe River Basin, China. Atmosphere, 13.10.3390/atmos13060929 ↗
32. Assessing forecasting performance of daily reference evapotranspiration using public weather forecast and numerical weather prediction10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.125547 ↗
33. Tsakiri, K., Marsellos, A., and Kapetanakis, S. (2018). Artificial neural network and multiple linear regression for flood prediction in Mohawk River, New York. Water, 10.10.3390/w10091158 ↗
34. Salem, H., Attiya, G., and El-Fishawy, N. (2016, January 22–25). Intelligent decision support system for breast cancer diagnosis by gene expression profiles. Proceedings of the 2016 33rd National Radio Science Conference (NRSC), Aswan, Egypt.10.1109/NRSC.2016.7450870 ↗
35. Multi–objective optimization of electronic product goods location assignment in stereoscopic warehouse based on adaptive genetic algorithm10.1007/s10845-015-1177-7 ↗
36. Atlam, M., Torkey, H., Salem, H., and El-Fishawy, N. (2020, January 8–10). A new feature selection method for enhancing cancer diagnosis based on DNA microarray. Proceedings of the 2020 37th National Radio Science Conference (NRSC), Cairo, Egypt.10.1109/NRSC49500.2020.9235095 ↗
37. Evapotranspiration estimation using a modified Priestley–Taylor model in a rice–wheat rotation system10.1016/j.agwat.2019.105755 ↗
38. On the assessment of surface heat flux and evaporation using large–scale parameters10.1175/1520-0493(1972)100<0081:OTAOSH>2.3.CO;2 ↗
39. Review and statistical analysis of different global solar radiation sunshine models10.1016/j.rser.2015.08.035 ↗
40. Deployment of artificial neural network for short-term forecasting of evapotranspiration using public weather forecast restricted messages10.1016/j.agwat.2015.10.009 ↗
41. New temperature-based models for predicting global solar radiation10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.07.006 ↗
42. The partial pressure of carbon dioxide and air–sea fluxes in the northern South China Sea in spring, summer and autumn10.1016/j.marchem.2004.12.002 ↗
43. Computing FAO56 reference grass evapotranspiration PM–ET0 from temperature with focus on solar radiation10.1016/j.agwat.2018.12.014 ↗
44. Estimating solar radiation and evapotranspiration using minimum climatological data10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9437(2000)126:4(265) ↗
45. Forecasting of reference crop evapotranspiration10.1016/0378-3774(93)90022-3 ↗
46. Artificial neural network for modeling reference evapotranspiration complex process in Sudano–Sahelian zone10.1016/j.agwat.2010.01.002 ↗
47. A novel genetic LSTM model for wind power forecast10.1016/j.energy.2021.120069 ↗
48. Wind speed forecast based on the LSTM neural network optimized by the firework algorithm10.1155/2021/4874757 ↗
49. Modeling reference evapotranspiration using three different heuristic regression approaches10.1016/j.agwat.2016.02.026 ↗
50. Evaluation of CatBoost method for prediction of reference evapotranspiration in humid regions10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.04.085 ↗
51. Daily reference evapotranspiration for hyper–arid to moist sub–humid climates in Inner Mongolia, China: I. Assessing temperature methods and spatial variability10.1007/s11269-016-1384-9 ↗
52. Wu, H. (2006). Prediction of Reference Crop Evapotranspiration Based on Back Propagation Network. [Master’s Thesis, Hohai University]. (In Chinese with English Abstract).
53. Ren, Y. (2021). Crop Water Requirements Model Based on Back Propagation Neural Network and IoT. [Master’s Thesis, Kunming University of Science and Technology]. (In Chinese with English Abstract).
54. Sensitivity Analysis of the Reference Crop Evapotranspiration to Meteorological Factors
55. Reference Evapotranspiration Estimation Model Based on Temperature and Humidity
56. Change in ET0 and the model to estimate it: A case study for Xinxiang
57. Reference grass evapotranspiration with reduced datasets: Parameterization of the FAO Penman–Monteith temperature approach and the Hargeaves–Samani equation using local climatic variables10.1016/j.agwat.2020.106210 ↗
58. Differential response of rice evapotranspiration to varying patterns of warming10.1016/j.agrformet.2020.108293 ↗
59. ANFIS, SVM and ANN soft–computing techniques to estimate daily global solar radiation in a warm sub–humid environment10.1016/j.jastp.2017.02.002 ↗
60. Prediction of pile bearing capacity using a hybrid genetic algorithm–based ANN10.1016/j.measurement.2014.08.007 ↗
61. Huang, R., Li, Z., and Cao, B. (2020). A soft sensor approach based on an echo state network optimized by improved genetic algorithm. Sensors, 20.10.3390/s20175000 ↗