journal article·2023-04-23Open access

Electronic Atlas of Climatic Changes in the Western Russian Arctic in 1950–2021 as Geoinformatic Support of Railway Development

Alexei D. Gvishiani, Igor N. Rozenberg, Anatoly A. Soloviev, Andrey G. Kostianoy, Sofia A. Gvozdik, Ilya V. Serykh, Roman I. Krasnoperov, Nikolay V. Sazonov, Irina A. Dubchak, Anton B. Popov, Evgenia A. Kostianaia, Georgy A. Gvozdik

Applied Sciences· Volume 13· Issue 9

Abstract

The Arctic zone of the Russian Federation is one of the most intensively developing regions of the country. Amongst the major domains of economic and industrial growth and improvement is transport infrastructure and particularly the railway network. This area is being exposed to negative factors of rapid climate change that can significantly affect and compromise this activity. Thus, it is vital to take them into account during design, construction, and operation of the railway infrastructure facilities. This work details the production of a digital atlas comprising the 1950–2021 dynamics of the main hydrometeorological parameters: air and soil temperature, precipitation, wind speed, air and soil humidity, and snow cover thickness. The maps are based on climatic data derived from the MERRA-2 (Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, version 2) reanalysis. In total there are 459, which are arranged into 7 chapters. The atlas geographically covers the western part of the Russian Arctic encompassing the regions of quite intensive transport development, which includes the construction of the Northern Latitudinal Railway. Original algorithms of geospatial data processing and their further representation as well as the maps compiled in GIS environment are discussed. Comprehensive analysis of climatic changes in the region of the Russian Arctic including detailed quantitative evaluation over 40 years is given. In the Discussion, we focus on those changes of the regional climate which, from our point of view, are the most significant for consideration by railway operators. The obtained results contribute to framing the theoretical basis of design, development, and sustainable operation of the railway infrastructure in the Arctic and facilitate the decision-making process. This is the first experience of building a specialized climatic cartographic product for the needs of the Russian railways, and to our knowledge the first atlas such as that in the world. In the future, the amassed experience may be transferred to other regions of the Russian Federation as well as similar regions in Canada, Sweden and Highland China that are also subject to significant climate change.
Source: crossref · Quality: baseline

Research context

OpenAlex topics: Climate change and permafrost · Arctic and Russian Policy Studies · Smart Materials for Construction

SciVX discovery tags are terminology-based. OpenAlex topics are source-provided classifications.

Affiliations

Geophysical Center of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 119296 Moscow, Russia

Schmidt Institute of Physics of the Earth of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 123242 Moscow, Russia

Russian University of Transport, 127994 Moscow, Russia

Shirshov Institute of Oceanology of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 117997 Moscow, Russia

Sergei Witte Moscow University, 115432 Moscow, Russia

Geological Faculty, Lomonosov Moscow State University, 119234 Moscow, Russia

Research and Design Institute of Informatization, Automation and Communications in Railway Transport, 109029 Moscow, Russia

Funding

Russian Science Foundation

References (77)

Show source-provided references
1. Katzov, V.M., Akenteva, E.M., Anisimov, O.A., Gruza, G.V., Zaitsev, A.E., Frolov, I.E., Sirotenko, A.D., Kattsov, V.M., Karol, I.E., and Terziev, F.S. (2022). Third Assessment Report on Climate Change and Its Consequences on the Territory of the Russian Federation. General Summary, Science-Intensive Technologies (Naukoyemkie Technologii).
2. Masson-Delmotte, V., Zhai, P., Pirani, A., Connors, S.L., Péan, C., Berger, S., Caud, N., Chen, Y., Goldfarb, L., and Gomis, M.I. (2021). Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press.
3. Impact of regional climate change on the infrastructure and operability of railway transport
4. Forecasting the impact of climatic changes on the functionality of the transport infrastructure of the permafrost zone in Russia10.25198/2077-7175-2019-1-104 ↗
5. On the transition of temperature regime of the White Sea Region to a new phase state10.59887/fpg/k9x4-p8fz-5kz6 ↗
6. Living with risk of natural disasters10.2205/2019ES000673 ↗
7. Geomorphological processes in the mountains of the Kola Peninsula and climate change
8. (2017). World Experience in the Construction, Maintenance and Repair of Railway Infrastructure Facilities in Permafrost Conditions, Center for Scientific and Technical Information and Libraries. (In Russian).
9. Rosstat (2022, November 01). Socio-Economic Situation of the North-Western Federal District, Available online: https://rosstat.gov.ru/storage/mediabank/Sev-Zap-fo_1k-2022.pdf.
10. Rosstat (2022, November 01). Socio-Economic Situation of the Ural Federal District, Available online: https://rosstat.gov.ru/storage/mediabank/Ural-fo_1k-2022.pdf.
11. (2022, November 01). Northern Latitudinal Railway, Available online: http://uralfo.gov.ru/projects/sshh/.
12. (2022, November 01). Northern Latitudinal Railway. Available online: http://www.cupp.ru/karta-proekta/.
13. Verezemskaya, P., Selivanova, Y., Tilinina, N., Markina, M., Krinitskiy, M., Sharmar, V., and Razorenova, O. (2022). Projected changes in the near-surface atmosphere over the Barents Sea based on CMIP5 scenarios. Russ. J. Earth. Sci., 22.10.2205/2021ES000770 ↗
14. The Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, Version 2 (MERRA-2)10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0758.1 ↗
15. MERRA-2 input observations: Summary and initial assessment
16. Regional Climate and Variability of NASA MERRA and Recent Reanalyses: U.S. Summertime Precipitation and Temperature10.1175/JAMC-D-12-0291.1 ↗
17. Comparing cyclone life cycle characteristics and their interannual variability in different reanalyses10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00777.1 ↗
18. Review and assessment of latent and sensible heat flux accuracy over the global oceans10.1016/j.rse.2017.08.016 ↗
19. Accuracy assessment of MERRA-2 and ERA-Interim sea-surface temperature, air temperature and humidity profiles over the Atlantic Ocean using AEROSE measurements10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0955.1 ↗
20. Evaluation of interdecadal trends in sea ice, surface winds and ocean waves in the Arctic in 1980–201910.2205/2020ES000741 ↗
21. Exceptional Warmth in the Northern Hemisphere during January–March of 2020: The Roles of Unforced and Forced Modes of Atmospheric Variability10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0291.1 ↗
22. The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project10.1175/1520-0477(1996)077<0437:TNYRP>2.0.CO;2 ↗
23. (2022, November 03). The International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS). 2002. Land Resources of Russia. Available online: http://www.iiasa.ac.at/Research/FOR/russia_cd/download.htm.
24. Visualization programming for batch processing of contour maps based on VB and Surfer software10.1016/j.advengsoft.2010.05.007 ↗
25. (2022, November 01). Golden Software Surfer. Available online: https://www.goldensoftware.com/products/surfer.
26. (2022, November 03). ESRI ArcMap. Available online: https://www.esri.com/en-us/arcgis/products/arcgisdesktop/resources.
27. Raster images generalization in the context of research on the structure of landscape and geodiversity10.7494/geol.2014.40.3.271 ↗
28. Improving geological and process model integration through TIN to 3D grid conversion10.1016/j.cageo.2015.05.010 ↗
29. (2022, October 30). Theoretical Fundaments in Geoinformation Systems (GIS). Available online: https://desktop.arcgis.com/ru/arcmap/latest/extensions/3d-analyst/fundamentals-of-3dsurfaces.htm.
30. Web-oriented software system for analysis of spatial geophysical data using geoinformatics methods10.1134/S0001433818090360 ↗
31. Assessing the dynamics of land cover and shoreline changes of Nijhum Dwip (Island) of Bangladesh using remote sensing and GIS techniques
32. (2022, November 02). Built-In Processing Tools Technical Support, ArcMap. Available online: https://support.esri.com/en/technical-article/000013000.
33. (2022, November 01). A Source Code of Author’s Tool to Clip Unnecessary Values. The Tool for ArcGIS. Available online: https://github.com/GAGvozdik/Group_raster_clip.
34. Yang, C.S., Kao, S.P., Lee, F.B., and Hung, P.S. (2004, January 12–23). Twelve different interpolation methods: A case study of Surfer 8.0. Proceedings of the XXth ISPRS Congress, Istanbul, Turkey.
35. (2023, March 27). Kriging. Available online: https://surferhelp.goldensoftware.com/griddata/idd_grid_data_kriging.htm.
36. Lambert and Mercator map projections in geology and geophysics10.1016/0098-3004(94)00080-E ↗
37. (2022, November 02). Spatial Reference System Information for ESPG. Available online: https://products.aspose.app/gis/epsg/code-102027.
38. Application of Geoportal’s Web-Technologies in GIS, Case Study: Interactive Geology Atlas
39. (2022, November 04). About Analyzing Images and Raster Data. Available online: https://desktop.arcgis.com/ru/arcmap/latest/manage-data/raster-and-images/about-analyzingimagery-raster-data.htm.
40. Using the raster calculator tool to appraise riverbed elevation changes nearby hydrotechnical objects on alluvial rivers
41. (2022, November 01). Description of Raster Calculator Utilization. Available online: https://desktop.arcgis.com/ru/arcmap/10.5/tools/spatial-analyst-toolbox/raster-calculator.htm.
42. Climate change in the western part of the Russian Arctic in 1980–2021. Part 1. Air temperature, precipitation, wind10.30758/0555-2648-2022-68-3-258-277 ↗
43. Climate change in the western part of the Russian Arctic in 1980–2021. Part 2. Soil temperature, snow, humidity10.30758/0555-2648-2022-68-4-352-369 ↗
44. Suomi NPP CrIS measurements, sensor data record algorithm, calibration and validation activities, and record data quality10.1002/2013JD020344 ↗
45. S-NPP ATMS instrument prelaunch and on-orbit performance evaluation10.1002/2013JD020483 ↗
46. Global Land Precipitation: A 50-yr Monthly Analysis Based on Gauge Observations10.1175/1525-7541(2002)003<0249:GLPAYM>2.0.CO;2 ↗
47. Assessment and enhancement of MERRA land surface hydrology estimates10.1175/JCLI-D-10-05033.1 ↗
48. Bosilovich, M.G., Lucchesi, R., and Suarez, M. (2016). MERRA-2: File Specification, GMAO Office Note No. 9 (Version 1.1).
49. Poli, P., Hersbach, H., Tan, D., Dee, D., Thépaut, J., Simmons, A., Peubey, C., Laloyaux, P., Komori, T., and Berrisford, P. (2013). The Data Assimilation System and Initial Performance Evaluation of the Ecmwf Pilot Reanalysis of the 20th-Century Assimilating Surface Observations Only (ERA-20C), European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts.
50. Evaluation of six satellite- and model-based surface soil temperature datasets using global ground-based observations10.1016/j.rse.2021.112605 ↗
51. Assessment of MERRA-2 Land Surface Hydrology Estimates10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0720.1 ↗
52. The choice of variable for atmospheric moisture analysis10.1175/1520-0493(2003)131<0155:TCOVFA>2.0.CO;2 ↗
53. Holm, E.V. (2003, January 8–11). Revision of the ECMWF humidity analysis: Construction of a Gaussian control variable. Proceedings of the ECMWF/GEWEX Workshop on Humidity Analysis, Reading, UK.
54. Permafrost Variability over the Northern Hemisphere Based on the MERRA2 Reanalysis10.5194/tc-13-2087-2019 ↗
55. Toure, A.M., Reichle, R.H., Forman, B.A., Getirana, A., and De Lannoy, G.J. (2018). Assimilation of MODIS Snow Cover Fraction Observations into the NASA Catchment Land Surface Model. Remote Sens., 10.10.3390/rs10020316 ↗
56. (2022, October 31). Information Resources: Basic Geographical Backgrounds. Available online: https://vsegei.ru/ru/info/topo/.
57. Geoinformatics and systems analysis in geophysics and geodynamics10.1134/S1069351319010038 ↗
58. GEBCO Gridded Bathymetric Datasets for Mapping Japan Trench Geomorphology by Means of GMT Scripting Toolset10.3846/gac.2020.11524 ↗
59. (2022, November 01). General Bathymetric Chart of the Ocean, GEBCO. Available online: https://www.gebco.net/data_and_products/gridded_bathymetry_data/grid_production/.
60. (2022, October 02). Russian-language Database of Names with Specific Addresses Based on VMap0 Data. Available online: https://gis-lab.info/qa/vmap0-settl-rus.html.
61. Inverse-forward method for heat flow estimation: Case study for the Arctic region
62. Estimation of land surface temperature and distribution across Land use/land cover in response to coal mining activity in V. D. Yelevsky coal mine area–Russia
63. Katzov, V.M. (2022). . The Third Assessment Report on Climate Changes and Their Consequences on the Territory of the Russian Federation, Science-Intensive technologies (Naukoyemkie Technologii).
64. Baker, C.J., Chapman, L., Quinn, A., and Dobney, K. (2023, April 06). Climate Change and the Railway Industry: A Review. [Online]. Available online: http://journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.1243/09544062JMES1558.
65. Nemry, F., and Demirel, H. (2023, April 06). Impacts of Climate Change on Transport: A Focus on Road and Rail Transport Infrastructures. [Online]. Available online: http://ftp.jrc.es/EURdoc/JRC72217.pdf.
66. Oslakovic, I.S., ter Maat, H.W., Hartmann, A., and Dewulf, G. (2023, April 06). Risk Assessment of Climate Change Impacts on Railway Infrastructure. [Online]. Available online: https://core.ac.uk/download/pdf/29215286.pdf.
67. Rail Safety and Standards Board (2023, April 06). Tomorrow’s Railway and Climate Change Adaptation: Executive Report. [Online]. Available online: www.rssb.co.uk.
68. Palco, K., and Lemmen, D.S. (2017). Climate Risks and Adaptation Practices for the Canadian Transportation Sector, Government of Canada. Available online: http://www.nrcan.gc.ca/environment/impacts-adaptation10761.10.4095/314845 ↗
69. Global warming to increase flood risk on European railways10.1007/s10584-019-02434-5 ↗
70. A global multi-hazard risk analysis of road and railway infrastructure assets10.1038/s41467-019-10442-3 ↗
71. Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation for Transport Networks and Nodes (2023, April 06). Report of United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (ECE), 2020, 216p. [Online]. Available online: https://unece.org/sites/default/files/2021-01/ECE-TRANS-283e_web.pdf.
72. Impact of climate change on railway operation and maintenance in Sweden: A State-of-the-art review10.21595/mrcm.2021.22136 ↗
73. Garmabaki, A.H.S., Thaduri, A., Famurewa, S., and Kumar, U. (2021). Adapting Railway Maintenance to Climate Change. Sustainability, 13.10.3390/su132413856 ↗
74. Implications of climate change for railway infrastructure10.1002/wcc.728 ↗
75. Ochsner, M., and Palmqvist, C.W. (2022, January 21–23). Weather and Train Disruptions in Sweden 2011–2019. Proceedings of the 18th International Conference on Railway Engineering Design & Operation, Valencia, Spain.10.2495/CR220101 ↗
76. Railway transport adaptation strategies to climate change at high latitudes: A review of experience from Canada, Sweden and China
77. Influence of space weather on the reliability of railway transport in the Arctic zone of Russia