Short-Term Power Prediction of Wind Turbine Applying Machine Learning and Digital Filter

As wind energy development increases, accurate wind energy forecasting helps to develop sensible power generation plans and ensure a balance between supply and demand. Machine-learning-based forecasting models possess exceptional predictive capabilities, and data manipulation prior to model training is also a key focus of this research. This study trained a deep Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network to learn the processing results of the Savitzky-Golay filter, which can avoid overfitting due to fluctuations and noise in measurements, improving the generalization performance. The optimum data frame length to match the second-order filter was determined by comparison. In a single-step prediction, the method reduced the root-mean-square error by 3.8% compared to the model trained directly with the measurements. The method also produced the smallest errors in all steps of the multi-step advance prediction. The proposed method ensures the accuracy of the forecasting and, on that basis, also improves the timeliness of the effective forecasts.