journal article·2024-11-26Open access

Deep Learning Forecasting Model for Market Demand of Electric Vehicles

Ahmed Ihsan Simsek, Erdinç Koç, Beste Desticioglu Tasdemir, Ahmet Aksöz, Muammer Turkoglu, Abdulkadir Sengur

Applied Sciences· Volume 14· Issue 23

Abstract

The increasing demand for electric vehicles (EVs) requires accurate forecasting to support strategic decisions by manufacturers, policymakers, investors, and infrastructure developers. As EV adoption accelerates due to environmental concerns and technological advances, understanding and predicting this demand becomes critical. In light of these considerations, this study presents an innovative methodology for forecasting EV demand. This model, called EVs-PredNet, is developed using deep learning methods such as LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) and CNNs (Convolutional Neural Networks). The model comprises convolutional, activation function, max pooling, LSTM, and dense layers. Experimental research has investigated four different categories of electric vehicles: battery electric vehicles (BEV), hybrid electric vehicles (HEV), plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEV), and all electric vehicles (ALL). Performance measures were calculated after conducting experimental studies to assess the model’s ability to predict electric vehicle demand. When the performance measures (mean absolute error, root mean square error, mean squared error, R-Squared) of EVs-PredNet and machine learning regression methods are compared, the proposed model is more effective than the other forecasting methods. The experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach in forecasting the electric vehicle demand. This model is considered to have significant application potential in assessing the adoption and demand of electric vehicles. This study aims to improve the reliability of forecasting future demand in the electric vehicle market and to develop relevant approaches.
Source: crossref · Quality: baseline

Research context

OpenAlex topics: Energy, Environment, and Transportation Policies · Electric Vehicles and Infrastructure · Energy Load and Power Forecasting

SciVX discovery tags are terminology-based. OpenAlex topics are source-provided classifications.

Affiliations

Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Firat University, Elazig 23119, Turkey

Department of Management Information Systems, Malatya Turgut Ozal University, Battalgazi 44210, Turkey

Department of Operations Research, Alparslan Defence Science Institute, National Defence University, Malatya 34334, Turkey

Department of Electrical and Electronics Engineering, Cumhuriyet University, Sivas 58140, Turkey

Department of Software Engineering, Samsun University, Samsun 55000, Turkey

Faculty of Technology, Department of Electrical and Electronics Engineering, Firat University, Elazig 23119, Turkey

Funding

European Union’s Horizon Europe research and innovation programme

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