journal article·2021-09-01Open access

Short-Term Load Forecasting Based on Deep Learning Bidirectional LSTM Neural Network

Changchun Cai, Yuan Tao, Tianqi Zhu, Zhixiang Deng

Applied Sciences· Volume 11· Issue 17

Abstract

Accurate load forecasting guarantees the stable and economic operation of power systems. With the increasing integration of distributed generations and electrical vehicles, the variability and randomness characteristics of individual loads and the distributed generation has increased the complexity of power loads in power systems. Hence, accurate and robust load forecasting results are becoming increasingly important in modern power systems. The paper presents a multi-layer stacked bidirectional long short-term memory (LSTM)-based short-term load forecasting framework; the method includes neural network architecture, model training, and bootstrapping. In the proposed method, reverse computing is combined with forward computing, and a feedback calculation mechanism is designed to solve the coupling of before and after time-series information of the power load. In order to improve the convergence of the algorithm, deep learning training is introduced to mine the correlation between historical loads, and the multi-layer stacked style of the network is established to manage the power load information. Finally, actual data are applied to test the proposed method, and a comparison of the results of the proposed method with different methods shows that the proposed method can extract dynamic features from the data as well as make accurate predictions, and the availability of the proposed method is verified with real operational data.
Source: crossref · Quality: baseline

Research context

OpenAlex topics: Energy Load and Power Forecasting · Smart Grid and Power Systems · Grey System Theory Applications

SciVX discovery tags are terminology-based. OpenAlex topics are source-provided classifications.

Affiliations

Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Power Transmission and Distribution Equipment Technology, Hohai University, Changzhou 213022, China

College of The Internet of Things Engineering, Hohai University, Changzhou 213022, China

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China

References (31)

Show source-provided references
1. Using smart meter data to improve the accuracy of intraday load forecasting considering customer behavior similarities10.1109/TSG.2014.2364233 ↗
2. Distributed multi-energy operation of coupled electricity, heating and natural gas networks10.1109/TSTE.2019.2961432 ↗
3. Short-term electric load forecasting based on Kalman filtering algorithm with moving window weather and load model10.1016/S0378-7796(03)00150-0 ↗
4. A strategy for short-term load forecasting by support vector regression machines10.1109/TPWRS.2013.2269803 ↗
5. Net load forecasting for high renewable energy penetration grids10.1016/j.energy.2016.08.067 ↗
6. A novel RBF training algorithm for short-term electric load forecasting and comparative studies10.1109/TIE.2015.2424399 ↗
7. Teo, T.T., Logenthiran, T., and Woo, W.L. (2015, January 3–6). Forecasting of photovoltaic power using extreme learning machine. Proceedings of the IEEE Innovative in Smart Grid Technologies-Asia (ISGT ASIA), Bangkok, Thailand.10.1109/ISGT-Asia.2015.7387113 ↗
8. Teo, T.T., Logenthiran, T., Woo, W.L., and Abidi, K. (2016, January 22–25). Forecasting of photovoltaic power using regularized ensemble extreme learning machine. Proceedings of the IEEE Region 10 Conference (TENCON), Singapore.10.1109/TENCON.2016.7848040 ↗
9. Multiple-input deep convolutional neural network model for short-term photovoltaic power forecasting10.1109/ACCESS.2019.2921238 ↗
10. Hybrid method for short-term photovoltaic power forecasting based on deep convolutional neural network10.1049/iet-gtd.2018.5847 ↗
11. Neo, Y.Q., Teo, T.T., Woo, W.L., Logenthiran, T., and Sharma, A. (2017, January 5–8). Forecasting of photovoltaic power using deep belief network. Proceedings of the 2017 IEEE Region 10 Conference (TENCON), Penang, Malaysia.10.1109/TENCON.2017.8228038 ↗
12. Improved deep belief network for short-term load forecasting considering demand-side management10.1109/TPWRS.2019.2943972 ↗
13. Deep belief network based electricity load forecasting: An analysis of Macedonian case10.1016/j.energy.2016.07.090 ↗
14. Short-term load forecasting with deep residual network10.1109/TSG.2018.2844307 ↗
15. Efficient online learning algorithms based on LSTM neural networks
16. LSTM: A search space odyssey10.1109/TNNLS.2016.2582924 ↗
17. Using appearance to predict pedestrian trajectories through disparity-guided attention and convolutional LSTM10.1109/TVT.2021.3094678 ↗
18. Online training of LSTM networks in distributed systems for variable length data sequences10.1109/TNNLS.2017.2770179 ↗
19. Video captioning by adversarial LSTM10.1109/TIP.2018.2855422 ↗
20. Video captioning with attention-based LSTM and semantic consistency10.1109/TMM.2017.2729019 ↗
21. Multimodal ambulatory sleep detection using LSTM recurrent neural networks10.1109/JBHI.2018.2867619 ↗
22. Nonuniformly sampled data processing using LSTM networks10.1109/TNNLS.2018.2869822 ↗
23. A data-driven strategy for short-term electric load forecasting using dynamic mode decomposition model10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.09.190 ↗
24. Short-term power load forecasting based on multi-layer bidirectional recurrent neural network10.1049/iet-gtd.2018.6687 ↗
25. LASSO and LSTM Integrated Temporal Model for Short-Term Solar Intensity Forecasting10.1109/JIOT.2018.2877510 ↗
26. Forecasting of PV plant output using hybrid wavelet-based LSTM-DNN structure model10.1049/iet-rpg.2018.5779 ↗
27. An LSTM short-term solar irradiance forecasting under complicated weather conditions10.1109/ACCESS.2019.2946057 ↗
28. Day-ahead solar irradiation forecasting utilizing gramian angular field and convolutional long short-term memory10.1109/ACCESS.2020.2967900 ↗
29. Wind power prediction based on LSTM networks and nonparametric kernel density estimation10.1109/ACCESS.2019.2952555 ↗
30. Accurate photovoltaic power forecasting models using deep LSTM-RNN10.1007/s00521-017-3225-z ↗
31. Load disaggregation using one-directional convolutional stacked long short-term memory recurrent neural network10.1109/JSYST.2019.2919668 ↗