Risks in the European Transmission System and a Novel Restoration Strategy for a Power System after a Major Blackout
Source abstract
Abstract
Many citizens of European countries may soon experience a long and extensive blackout. The lack of predictability in the output of renewable energy sources, aggravating the problem of consistently matching supply with demand on electric grids, along with cyber-attacks or even worse unpredictable incidents in the electric grid are some factors that may mean a blackout is much more likely than in previous years. This paper covers the possibility of an extensive blackout in a country of the interconnected European electricity transmission system or, even worse, a blackout in a wide area of the European continent. The topic of this paper becomes even more important and timely given the energy crisis due to the war in Ukraine, which has made the possibility of a blackout in the winter of 2022–2023 high. First, the major European blackouts that occurred in the past 20 years are presented, examining their causes. On 8 January 2021, the European electricity grid was divided into two separate sections, with different frequencies; some additional scenarios are considered which, if they had happened, could have led to blackouts in some European countries or, even worse, a wide area of Europe. This work also examines how to avoid such an eventuality, as well as how European TSOs should react in case a blackout occurs. Focused on the fast and reliable supply of consumers after a blackout, a novel restoration strategy based on the A* Algorithm is presented. Its efficiency is validated in the IEEE-39 and IEEE-68 bus systems.
Source: crossref · Quality: baseline
Research context
OpenAlex topics: Smart Grid Security and Resilience · Power System Reliability and Maintenance · Power System Optimization and Stability
SciVX discovery tags are terminology-based. OpenAlex topics are source-provided classifications.
Affiliations
Department of Electrical and Electronics Engineering Educators, ASPETE—School of Pedagogical and Technological Education, 14121 N. Heraklion, Greece
Core Department, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens (NKUA), Euripus Complex, 34400 Psahna Euboea, Greece
Funding
National and Kapodistrian University of Athens (NKUA)
References (100+)
Show source-provided references
1. The anatomy of a power grid blackout—Root causes and dynamics of recent major blackouts10.1109/MPAE.2006.1687814 ↗
2. Power Outage Estimation: The Study of Revenue-Led Top Affected States of US10.1109/ACCESS.2020.3043630 ↗
3. Economic impact of electricity supply interruptions in South Africa10.23919/SAIEE.2020.9099495 ↗
4. Impact of power outages on households in developing countries: Evidence from Ethiopia10.1016/j.eneco.2020.104882 ↗
5. Valuing blackouts and lost leisure: Estimating electricity interruption costs for households across the European Union10.1016/j.erss.2017.05.010 ↗
6. Haes Alhelou, H., Hamedani-Golshan, M.E., Njenda, T.C., and Siano, P. (2019). A Survey on Power System Blackout and Cascading Events: Research Motivations and Challenges. Energies, 12.10.3390/en12040682 ↗
7. Causes of the 2003 major grid blackouts in North America and Europe, and recommended means to improve system dynamic performance10.1109/TPWRS.2005.857942 ↗
8. Union for the Coordination of the Transmission of Electricity (UCTE) (2022, September 20). Final Report of the Investigation Committee on the 28 September 2003 Blackout in Italy. Available online: https://eepublicdownloads.entsoe.eu/clean-documents/pre2015/publications/ce/otherreports/20040427_UCTE_IC_Final_report.pdf.
9. Larsson, S., and Danell, A. (November, January 29). The black-out in southern Sweden and eastern Denmark, September 23, 2003. Proceedings of the 2006 IEEE PES Power Systems Conference and Exposition, Atlanta, GA, USA.10.1109/PSCE.2006.296324 ↗
10. Postmortem analysis and data validation in the wake of the 2004 Athens blackout10.1109/TPWRS.2006.879252 ↗
11. Behnert, M., and Bruckner, T. (2018). Causes and Effects of Historical Transmission Grid Collapses and Implications for the German Power System, Institute for Infrastructure and Resources Management, University of Leipzig. Available online: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/190501/1/1043587349.pdf.
12. Li, C., Sun, Y., and Chen, X. (2007, January 3–6). Analysis of the blackout in Europe on November 4, 2006. Proceedings of the 2007 International Power Engineering Conference (IPEC 2007), Singapore.
13. Union for the Coordination of the Transmission of Electricity (UCTE) (2022, September 20). Final Report: System Disturbance on 4 November 2006. Available online: https://eepublicdownloads.entsoe.eu/clean-documents/pre2015/publications/ce/otherreports/Final-Report-20070130.pdf.
14. Citizens’ Response to a Large Electrical Power Outage in the Netherlands in 200710.1111/j.1468-5973.2009.00561.x ↗
15. Majchrzak, D., Michalski, K., and Reginia-Zacharski, J. (2021). Readiness of the Polish Crisis Management System to Respond to Long-Term, Large-Scale Power Shortages and Failures (Blackouts). Energies, 14.10.3390/en14248286 ↗
16. BBC NEWS (2022, September 20). Over 10,000 Still without Power. Available online: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/england/london/8162511.stm.
17. The Reason Analysis of Holland Blackout on March 27, 2015 and Lessons for Hunan Power Grid10.18178/JOCET.2018.6.3.472 ↗
18. Li, K., Zhang, J., Chen, M., Yang, Z., and Niu, Q. Distributed Accommodation for Distributed Generation—From the View of Power System Blackouts. Advances in Green Energy Systems and Smart Grid, Springer. ICSEE IMIOT 2018 2018. Communications in Computer and Information Science.
19. European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity (ENTSO-E) (2022, September 20). Report on Blackout in Turkey on 31st March 2015. Available online: https://eepublicdownloads.entsoe.eu/clean-documents/SOC%20documents/Regional_Groups_Continental_Europe/20150921_Black_Out_Report_v10_w.pdf.
20. Analysis and lessons of blackout in Turkey power grid on March 31, 2015
21. The 2015 Ukraine Blackout: Implications for False Data Injection Attacks10.1109/TPWRS.2016.2631891 ↗
22. How cyber-attacks in Ukraine show the vulnerability of the US power grid10.1016/j.tej.2017.02.006 ↗
23. Bråten, D.P. (2017). Taser or Shock Collar? Energy as a Weapon and Interdependence in the Ukraine Crisis 2014–2015. [Master’s Thesis, University of Oslo].
24. Impact Assessment of Hypothesized Cyberattacks on Interconnected Bulk Power Systems10.1109/TSG.2017.2656068 ↗
25. Independent Power Transmission Operator (IPTO) (2022, September 20). Fire in Koumoundourou High Voltage Center. Available online: https://www.admie.gr/en/nea/deltia-typoy/fire-koumoundourou-high-voltage-center.
26. Ippolito, M.G., Musca, R., and Zizzo, G. (2021). Analysis and Simulations of the Primary Frequency Control during a System Split in Continental Europe Power System. Energies, 14.10.3390/en14051456 ↗
27. European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity (ENTSO–E), and SPD (System Protection & Dynamics) Subgroup (2016). Frequency Stability Evaluation Criteria for the Synchronous Zone of Continental Europe—Requirements and Impacting Factors, European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity. Available online: https://eepublicdownloads.entsoe.eu/clean-documents/SOC%20documents/RGCE_SPD_frequency_stability_criteria_v10.pdf.
28. European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity (ENTSO-E) (2022, September 20). P1—Policy 1: Load-Frequency Control and Performance. Available online: https://eepublicdownloads.entsoe.eu/clean-documents/pre2015/publications/ce/oh/Policy1_final.pdf.
29. European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity (ENTSO-E) (2022, September 20). P2—Policy 2: Scheduling and Accounting. Available online: https://eepublicdownloads.entsoe.eu/clean-documents/pre2015/publications/entsoe/Operation_Handbook/Policy_2_final.pdf.
30. European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity (ENTSO-E) (2022, September 20). P3—Policy 3: Operational Security. Available online: https://eepublicdownloads.entsoe.eu/clean-documents/pre2015/publications/entsoe/Operation_Handbook/Policy_3_final.pdf.
31. European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity (ENTSO-E) (2022, September 20). P4—Policy 4: Coordinated Operational. Available online: https://eepublicdownloads.entsoe.eu/clean-documents/pre2015/publications/entsoe/Operation_Handbook/Policy-4-v2.pdf.
32. European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity (ENTSO-E) (2022, September 20). P5—Policy 5: Emergency Operations. Available online: https://eepublicdownloads.entsoe.eu/clean-documents/pre2015/publications/entsoe/Operation_Handbook/Policy_5_final.pdf.
33. European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity (ENTSO-E) (2022, September 20). P6—Policy 6: Communication Infrastructure. Available online: https://eepublicdownloads.entsoe.eu/clean-documents/pre2015/publications/entsoe/Operation_Handbook/Policy_6_final.pdf.
34. European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity (ENTSO-E) (2022, September 20). P7—Policy 7: Data Exchanges. Available online: https://gordoncheng.files.wordpress.com/2010/08/policy_7_final-e8b387e69699e4baa4e68f9b.pdf.
35. European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity (ENTSO-E) (2022, September 20). P8—Policy 8: Operational Training. Available online: https://gordoncheng.files.wordpress.com/2010/08/policy_8_final-e8aabfe5baa6e9818be8bd89e8a893e7b7b4.pdf.
36. European energy politics after Ukraine: The road ahead10.1016/j.erss.2022.102757 ↗
37. Adibi, M.M. (2000). Power System Restoration: Methodologies and Implementation Strategies, Wiley-IEEE Press. [1st ed.].
38. Multi-objective optimization of power system reconstruction based on NSGA-II
39. The study of switching overvoltages under power system restoration scenario using extended delta-bar-delta algorithm
40. Intuitionistic fuzzy Choquet integral operator-based approach for black-start decision-making10.1049/iet-gtd.2011.0609 ↗
41. A hybrid multiagent framework with Q-learning for power grid systems restoration10.1109/TPWRS.2011.2157180 ↗
42. Conceptual design of a multi-agent system for interconnected power systems restoration10.1109/TPWRS.2011.2177866 ↗
43. Multi-agent based on Stackelberg decision for power system restoration
44. Novel multiagent based load restoration algorithm for microgrids10.1109/TSG.2010.2099675 ↗
45. Computation of milestones for decision support during system restoration10.1109/TPWRS.2010.2089540 ↗
46. Determination of weight coefficient for power system restoration10.1109/TPWRS.2011.2180172 ↗
47. Determination of optimal restoration paths for power system considering failure risk of restoring transmission lines
48. A new optimization method for determining restoration paths based on weighted complex network model
49. A hierarchical collaborative optimization method for transmission network restoration
50. PTDF-based automatic restoration path selection10.1109/TPWRS.2009.2037820 ↗
51. Henderson, M., Rappold, E., Feltes, J., Grande-Moran, C., Durbak, D., and Bileya, O. (2012, January 22–26). Addressing restoration issues for the ISO new England system. Proceedings of the Power and Energy Society General Meeting, San Diego, CA, USA.10.1109/PESGM.2012.6345165 ↗
52. (2013). System Restoration from Black Start Resources (Standard No. NERC Standard EOP-005-2). Available online: https://www.nerc.com/pa/Stand/Reliability%20Standards/EOP-005-2.pdf.
53. AEMO (2021, November 16). Independent Review of System Restart Ancillary Service Process Improvements. Available online: https://www.aemo.com.au/-/media/Files/PDF/Independent-Review-of-System-Restart-Ancillary-Services-Process-Improvem.ashx.
54. AEMO (2021, November 16). Interim System Restart Standard, Available online: http://www.aemc.gov.au/getattachment/c03f9653-d44d-46c7-b408-998a22b67324/AEMO-s-Interim-System-Restart-Standard.aspx.
55. AEMO (2021, November 16). An Introduction to Australia’s National Electricity Market Wholesale Market Operation. Available online: http://www.abc.net.au/mediawatch/transcripts/1234_aemo2.pdf.
56. (2016, November 16). PJM Manual 14B: PJM Region Transmission Planning Process. Available online: www.pjm.com/~/media/documents/manuals/m14b.ashx.
57. Kafka, R.J. (2008, January 20–24). Review of PJM restoration practices and NERC restoration standards. Proceedings of the Power and Energy Society General Meeting-Conversion and Delivery of Electrical Energy in the 21st Century, Pittsburgh, PA, USA.10.1109/PES.2008.4596700 ↗
58. European Parliament (2022, September 20). Fact Sheets on the European Union. The Internal Energy Market. Available online: https://www.europarl.europa.eu/factsheets/en/sheet/45/internal-energy-market.
59. A comprehensive review on the benefits and challenges of global power grids and intercontinental interconnectors10.1016/j.rser.2019.03.003 ↗
60. European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Purvins, A., Fulli, G., Covrig, C.F., Chaouachi, A., Bompard, E.F., Carpaneto, E., Huang, T., and Pi, R.J. (2016). The Baltic Power System between East and West Interconnections, European Commission. Available online: https://data.europa.eu/doi/10.2790/411653.
61. Operating experience of regional interconnections in India
62. Review of Middle East energy interconnection development10.1007/s40565-017-0335-7 ↗
63. An innovation idea for energy transition towards sustainable and resilient societies: Global energy interconnection
64. Lee, J.Y., Verayiah, R., Ong, K.H., Ramasamy, A.K., and Marsadek, M.B. (2020). Distributed Generation: A Review on Current Energy Status, Grid-Interconnected PQ Issues, and Implementation Constraints of DG in Malaysia. Energies, 13.10.3390/en13246479 ↗
65. Liu, Z. (2015). Global Energy Interconnection, Academic Press.10.1016/B978-0-12-804405-6.00005-1 ↗
66. The role of energy storage and cross-border interconnections for increasing the flexibility of future power systems: The case of Colombia10.1016/j.segy.2021.100016 ↗
67. Technical and economic demands of HVDC submarine cable technology for Global Energy Interconnection10.1016/j.gloei.2020.05.004 ↗
68. Alamri, B., Hossain, M.A., and Asghar, M.S.J. (2021). Electric Power Network Interconnection: A Review on Current Status, Future Prospects and Research Direction. Electronics, 10.10.3390/electronics10172179 ↗
69. Definition and classification of power system stability IEEE/CIGRE joint task force on stability terms and definitions10.1109/TPWRS.2004.825981 ↗
70. European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity (ENTSO-E) (2022, September 20). ENTSO-E IT Platforms. Available online: https://www.entsoe.eu/data/it-platforms/#.
71. European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity (ENTSO-E) (2022, September 20). Glossary. Available online: https://eepublicdownloads.entsoe.eu/clean-documents/pre2015/publications/entsoe/Operation_Handbook/glossary_v22.pdf.
72. European Union (2019). Regulation (EU). No. 2019/943 of the European Parliament and the Council. On the Internal Market for Electricity (Recast), European Union. Available online: https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/LV/TXT/?uri=CELEX:32019R0943.
73. European Union (2019). Commission Regulation (EU), No. 2017/1485. On Establishing a Guideline on Electricity Transmission System Operation, European Union. Available online: https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=uriserv:OJ.L_.2017.220.01.0001.01.ENG&toc=OJ:L:2017:220:TOC.
74. Velay, M., Vinyals, M., Besanger, Y., and Retiere, N. (2018, January 4–7). An analysis of large-scale transmission power blackouts from 2005 to 2016. Proceedings of the 53rd International Universities Power Engineering Conference (UPEC), Glasgow, UK.10.1109/UPEC.2018.8541901 ↗
75. Blackout Prevention in the United States, Europe, and Russia10.1109/JPROC.2005.857486 ↗
76. Risk Assessment of Cascading Outages: Methodologies and Challenges10.1109/TPWRS.2011.2177868 ↗
77. Optimization strategies for the vulnerability analysis of the electric power grid10.1137/070708275 ↗
78. Oral, B., and Donmez, F. (2008, January 27–29). Analysis of disturbances in large power systems: Case study of the 1999 Marmara Earthquake. Proceedings of the 2008 Power Quality and Supply Reliability Conference, Parnu, Estonia.10.1109/PQ.2008.4653754 ↗
79. European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity (ENTSO-E) (2022, September 20). Final Report on the Separation of the Continental Europe Power System on 8 January 2021. Available online: https://www.entsoe.eu/news/2021/07/15/final-report-on-the-separation-of-the-continental-europe-power-system-on-8-january-2021/.
80. European Union (2016). Commission Regulation
81. (EU) No 2016/1388. On Establishing a Network Code on Demand Connection, European Union. Available online: https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/PDF/?uri=CELEX:32016R1388.
82. Optimal islands determination in power system restoration applying multi-objective populated simulated annealing10.1002/etep.2745 ↗
83. Global optimization model and algorithm for unit restarting sequence considering blackstart zone partitioning10.1049/iet-gtd.2018.6237 ↗
84. Demetriou, P., Kyriacou, A., Kyriakides, E., and Panayiotou, C. (2017, January 18–22). System splitting strategy considering power system restoration. Proceedings of the 2017 IEEE Manchester PowerTech, Manchester, UK.10.1109/PTC.2017.7980806 ↗
85. Hou, Y., Liu, C.-C., Sun, K., Zhang, P., and Sun, K. (2009, January 5–8). Constructing power system restoration strategies. Proceedings of the International Conference on Electrical and Electronics Engineering, Bursa, Turkey.
86. Development of a black start decision supporting system for isolated power systems10.1109/TPWRS.2013.2237792 ↗
87. From generic restoration actions to specific restoration strategies10.1109/59.387912 ↗
88. A Systematic Literature Review of A* Pathfinding10.1016/j.procs.2021.01.034 ↗
89. Aftab, S.U., Numan, M., Farooq, H., Ahmed, N., and Hassan, Z.U. (2022). Optimal Restoration Sequence of Parallel Power System Using Genetic Algorithm. Eng. Proc., 20.10.3390/engproc2022020038 ↗
90. Bevrani, H., Watanabe, M., and Mitani, Y. (2014). Appendix A: New York/New England 16-Machine 68-Bus System Case Study in Power System Monitoring and Control, IEEE.10.1002/9781118852422 ↗
91. Resilience-oriented service restoration modelling interdependent critical loads in distribution systems with integrated distributed generators10.1049/gtd2.12100 ↗
92. Cho, S.-S., Lee, D.W., and Kang, M.-Y. (2020). The Association between Shift Work and Health-Related Productivity Loss due to Either Sickness Absence or Reduced Performance at Work: A Cross-Sectional Study of Korea. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health, 17.10.3390/ijerph17228493 ↗
93. Field Study of Effects of Night Shifts on Cognitive Performance, Salivary Melatonin, and Sleep10.1016/j.shaw.2017.07.007 ↗
94. Briguglio, G., Teodoro, M., Italia, S., Verduci, F., Pollicino, M., Coco, M., De Vita, A., Micali, E., Alibrandi, A., and Lembo, G. (2021). Salivary Biomarkers and Work-Related Stress in Night Shift Workers. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health, 18.10.3390/ijerph18063184 ↗
95. Training Control Centers’ Operators in Incident Diagnosis and Power Restoration Using Intelligent Tutoring Systems10.1109/TLT.2009.16 ↗
96. Restoration testing and training in Italian ISO10.1109/TPWRS.2002.804949 ↗
97. Savulescu, S.C. (2009). Real-Time Stability Assessment in Modern Power System Control Centers, Wiley-IEEE Press.10.1002/9780470423912 ↗
98. Handschin, E., and Petroianu, A. (1991). Energy Management Systems: Operation and Control of Electric Energy Transmission Systems, Springer.10.1007/978-3-642-84041-8 ↗
99. The Future of Power System Restoration: Using Distributed Energy Resources as a Force to Get Back Online10.1109/MPE.2018.2864227 ↗
100. Techno-Economic Assessment of Hybrid Energy Off-Grid System—A Case Study for Masirah Island in Oman