journal article·2021-05-08Open access

Short-Term Prediction of COVID-19 Cases Using Machine Learning Models

Md. Shahriare Satu, Koushik Chandra Howlader, Mufti Mahmud, M. Shamim Kaiser, Sheikh Mohammad Shariful Islam, Julian M. W. Quinn, Salem A. Alyami, Mohammad Ali Moni

Applied Sciences· Volume 11· Issue 9

Abstract

The first case in Bangladesh of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) was reported on 8 March 2020, with the number of confirmed cases rapidly rising to over 175,000 by July 2020. In the absence of effective treatment, an essential tool of health policy is the modeling and forecasting of the progress of the pandemic. We, therefore, developed a cloud-based machine learning short-term forecasting model for Bangladesh, in which several regression-based machine learning models were applied to infected case data to estimate the number of COVID-19-infected people over the following seven days. This approach can accurately forecast the number of infected cases daily by training the prior 25 days sample data recorded on our web application. The outcomes of these efforts could aid the development and assessment of prevention strategies and identify factors that most affect the spread of COVID-19 infection in Bangladesh.
Source: crossref · Quality: baseline

Research context

OpenAlex topics: COVID-19 epidemiological studies · COVID-19 diagnosis using AI · Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare

SciVX discovery tags are terminology-based. OpenAlex topics are source-provided classifications.

Affiliations

Department of Management Information Systems, Noakhali Science and Technology University, Noakhali 3814, Bangladesh

Department of Computer Science and Telecommunication Engineering, Noakhali Science and Techology University, Noakhali 3814, Bangladesh

Department of Computer Science, Nottingham Trent University, Clifton, Nottingham NG11 8NS, UK

Medical Technologies Innovation Facility, Nottingham Trent University, Clifton, Nottingham NG11 8NS, UK

Institute of Information Technology, Jahangirnagar University, Savar 1342, Bangladesh

Institute for Physical Activity and Nutrition, Deakin University, Burwood, VIC 3125, Australia

Healthy Ageing Theme, The Garvan Institute of Medical Research, Darlinghurst, Sydney, NSW 2010, Australia

Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Faculty of Science, Imam Mohammad Ibn Saud Islamic University (IMSIU), Riyadh 13318, Saudi Arabia

WHO Collaborating Centre on eHealth, UNSW Digital Health, School of Public Health and Community Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW 2052, Australia

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