journal article·2025-12

Machine learning for predicting high-temperature strength of austenitic stainless steels based on composition and deformation parameters

Arash Ghasemi, Ali Reza Eivani, Omid Banapour Ghaffari, Morteza Zakeri Nasrabadi, Manojit Ghosh, Seyed Mahmood Fatemi, Hamid Reza Jafarian

Journal of Materials Science· Volume 60· Issue 47
Publisher page

Abstract

This study uses a machine learning (ML) approach to investigate the effect of compositions and deformation parameters on the yield stress (YS) and ultimate tensile strength (UTS) for austenitic stainless steels at high temperatures. The input variables for the 10 ML models, used in the present investigation, are Chemical composition (wt.%), initial grain size (µm), strain rate (1/s), and temperature (¿) The dataset consists of 568 data points and 24 variables. The gradient boosting regressor (GBR) has emerged as the best model for predicting YS and UTS, with R- squared scores of 0.95 and 0.96, respectively. The SHAP plot showed that the five variables delivering maximum impact for YS were temperature, strain rate, iron, initial grain size, and molybdenum, respectively. In contrast, temperature, strain rate, iron, nitrogen, and molybdenum were the first five features for UTS. The SHAP plot, which indicates the effect of each parameter on YS and UTS, has been constructed. According to the SHAP, strain rates increase is accompanied by an increase in Ni, N, and Mo percent for both YS and UTS. Conversely, higher temperatures, coarser grains, and a high value of Fe lead to a decrease in them. The experimental 2 results also corroborated the GBR model and established its acceptability for predicting YS and UTS in austenitic stainless steels at high temperature.
Source: openaire · Quality: candidate unverified · Source record ↗

Research context

OpenAlex topics: Microstructure and Mechanical Properties of Steels · High-Velocity Impact and Material Behavior · Machine Learning in Materials Science

SciVX discovery tags are terminology-based. OpenAlex topics are source-provided classifications.

References (59)

Show source-provided references
1. Borgioli F, MDPI AG (2020) From austenitic stainless steel to expanded austenite-s phase: formation, characteristics and properties of an elusive metastable phase. Metals. https://doi.org/10.3390/met1002018710.3390/met10020187 ↗
2. Astafurov S, Astafurova E, MDPI AG (2021) Phase composition of austenitic stainless steels in additive manufacturing: a review. Metals. https://doi.org/10.3390/met1107105210.3390/met11071052 ↗
3. Jia S, Tan Q, Ye J, Zhu Z, Jiang Z (2021) Experiments on dynamic mechanical properties of austenitic stainless steel S30408 and S31608. J Constr Steel Res. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcsr.2021.10655610.1016/j.jcsr.2021.106556 ↗
4. G S. Was and S. Ukai (2019) Austenitic stainless steels, in Structural alloys for nuclear energy applications, Elsevier, pp. 293–347. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-397046-6.00008-310.1016/B978-0-12-397046-6.00008-3 ↗
5. H. Berns, V. Gavriljuk, and S. Riedner (2013) High interstitial stainless austenitic steels. in engineering materials. Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer Berlin Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-33701-710.1007/978-3-642-33701-7 ↗
6. Plaut RL, Herrera C, Escriba DM, Rios PR, Fernando Padilha A (2007) A short review on wrought austenitic stainless steels at high temperatures: processing. Microstruct, Prop Perform 10:453–460. https://doi.org/10.1590/S1516-1439200700040002110.1590/S1516-14392007000400021 ↗
7. Michler T (2016) Austenitic stainless steels. Ref Modul Mater Sci Mater Eng. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-803581-8.02509-110.1016/B978-0-12-803581-8.02509-1 ↗
8. Mandal P, Choudhury A, Mallick AB, Ghosh M (2024) A voting-based ensemble classifier to predict phases and crystal structures of high entropy alloys through thermodynamic, electronic, and configurational parameters. J Alloys Metall Syst 7:100087. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jalmes.2024.10008710.1016/j.jalmes.2024.100087 ↗
9. Mandal P, Choudhury A, Mallick AB, Ghosh M (2023) Phase prediction in high entropy alloys by various machine learning modules using thermodynamic and configurational parameters. Metals Mater Int 29(1):38–52. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12540-022-01220-w10.1007/s12540-022-01220-w ↗
10. Was GS, Ukai S (2019) Chapter 8 - Austenitic Stainless Steels. In: Odette GR, Zinkle SJ (eds) Structural Alloys for Nuclear Energy Applications. Elsevier, Boston, pp 293–347. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-397046-6.00008-310.1016/B978-0-12-397046-6.00008-3 ↗
11. Zhou Y, Liu J, Chen K, Shi H, Shang X, Que Z, Shen Z, Zhang L, Zeng X (2025) Predicting intergranular stress corrosion cracking of stainless steels in high-temperature water by incorporating crystallographic factor. Acta Mater. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.actamat.2025.12132210.1016/j.actamat.2025.121322 ↗
12. Gong Z, Wang X, Li L, Zhang K, Yu Sh, Li J, Cai Z, He Q, Chou W, Shen Z (2025) Multiscale insights into temperature effects on the sliding wear of a martensitic stainless steel. J Mater Res Technol 37:1174–1185. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmrt.2025.06.10210.1016/j.jmrt.2025.06.102 ↗
13. Jiao Z, Dong Y, Li Q, Zhou Q, Han S, Yin C, Huang Z, Wang X, Wang H, Liu W (2025) Enhancing tribocorrosion resistance of VCoNi alloys in artificial seawater via nitrogen alloying. Corros Sci 243:112600. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.corsci.2024.11260010.1016/j.corsci.2024.112600 ↗
14. Ghasemi A, Eivani AR, Abbasi SM, Ghosh M, Jafarian HR (2025) Optimizing the tensile properties of Al10Co25Cr8Fe15Ni36Ti6 high entropy superalloy. J Alloys Compd 1037:182593. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jallcom.2025.18259310.1016/j.jallcom.2025.182593 ↗
15. Ghasemi A, Eivani AR, Abbasi SM, Jafarian HR, Ghosh M, Anijdan SHM (2025) Al-Co-Cr-Fe-Ni-Ti high entropy alloys: a review of microstructural and mechanical properties at elevated temperatures. J Alloys Compd 1010:178216. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jallcom.2024.17821610.1016/j.jallcom.2024.178216 ↗
16. Babu KA, Mandal S, Athreya CN, Shakthipriya B, Sarma VS (2017) Hot deformation characteristics and processing map of a phosphorous modified super austenitic stainless steel. Mater Des 115:262–275. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.matdes.2016.11.05410.1016/j.matdes.2016.11.054 ↗
17. Kori P, Vadavadagi BH, Khatirkar RK (2020) Hot deformation characteristics of ASS-304 austenitic stainless steel by tensile tests. Mater Today Proc 28:1895–1898. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.matpr.2020.05.30310.1016/j.matpr.2020.05.303 ↗
18. Wang L, Li Z, Hu X, Lv B, Chen C, Zhang F (2021) Hot deformation behavior and 3D processing map of super austenitic stainless steel containing 7Mo–0.46N–0.02Ce: effect of the solidification direction orientation of columnar crystal to loading direction. J Mater Res Technol 13:618–634. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmrt.2021.05.00610.1016/j.jmrt.2021.05.006 ↗
19. Zhang K, Ma S, Shen Z, Wang H, Gao S, Zeng X (2025) Achieving superior mechanical performance in FeCrAl alloys through serrated and pinning-enhanced grain boundaries. J Mater Res Technol 37:1465–1471. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmrt.2025.06.11010.1016/j.jmrt.2025.06.110 ↗
20. Li J, Zhang C, Zhang K, Gao D, Jiang Z, Wang Z, Shen Z, Yang H, Zeng X (2025) Mitigating grain boundary Gd segregation to enhance high-temperature oxidation resistance in Mg-6Gd-1Al alloy: a comparative microstructural study. Corros Sci. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.corsci.2025.11325610.1016/j.corsci.2025.113256 ↗
21. Chen K et al (2025) Enhancing high-temperature corrosion and cracking resistance of a dual-phase high entropy alloy through surface grinding. Corros Sci. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.corsci.2025.11322710.1016/j.corsci.2025.113227 ↗
22. Ma Y et al (2025) Exploration on the oxidation resistance of TiAlNbN films: mechanisms of nanopore regulation and crack suppression. Corros Sci. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.corsci.2025.11327310.1016/j.corsci.2025.113273 ↗
23. Sourmail T (2001) Precipitation in creep resistant austenitic stainless steels. Mater Sci Technol 17(1):1–14. https://doi.org/10.1179/02670830110150897210.1179/026708301101508972 ↗
24. Kulakov M, Huang J, Ntovas M, Moturu S (2020) Microstructure evolution during hot deformation of REX734 austenitic stainless steel. Metall Mater Trans A Phys Metall Mater Sci 51(2):845–854. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11661-019-05558-610.1007/s11661-019-05558-6 ↗
25. Khorshidi H, Kermanpur A, Rastegari H, Ghassemali E, Somani MC (2021) Design of a hot deformation processing map for a Ni-free, N-bearing austenitic stainless steel. Mater Today Commun 27:102352. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mtcomm.2021.10235210.1016/j.mtcomm.2021.102352 ↗
26. Li Y, Dong Y, Jiang Z, Tang Q, Du S, Hou Z (2023) Influence of rare earth Ce on hot deformation behavior of as-cast Mn18Cr18N high nitrogen austenitic stainless steel. Int J Miner Metall Mater 30(2):324–334. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12613-021-2355-610.1007/s12613-021-2355-6 ↗
27. Banapour Ghaffari O, Eftekhari Yekta B, Zakeri-Nasrabadi M (2024) Estimating ‘depth of layer’ (DOL) in ion-exchanged glasses using explainable machine learning. Materialia. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mtla.2024.10202710.1016/j.mtla.2024.102027 ↗
28. Banapour Ghaffari O, Eftekhari Yekta B, Zakeri-Nasrabadi M (2024) Designing high-performance ion-exchangeable glasses with multi-objective optimization and machine learning. Ceram Int 50(21):42949–42962. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ceramint.2024.08.14110.1016/j.ceramint.2024.08.141 ↗
29. Elsheikh AH (2023) Applications of machine learning in friction stir welding: prediction of joint properties, real-time control and tool failure diagnosis. Eng Appl Artif Intell. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.engappai.2023.10596110.1016/j.engappai.2023.105961 ↗
30. Mamun O, Wenzlick M, Hawk J, Devanathan R (2021) A machine learning aided interpretable model for rupture strength prediction in Fe-based martensitic and austenitic alloys. Sci Rep. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-83694-z10.1038/s41598-021-83694-z ↗
31. Jiang X, Jia B, Zhang G, Zhang C, Wang X, Zhang R, Yin H, Qu X, Song Y, Su L, Mi Z, Hu L, Ma H (2020) A strategy combining machine learning and multiscale calculation to predict tensile strength for pearlitic steel wires with industrial data. Scr Mater 186:272–277. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scriptamat.2020.03.06410.1016/j.scriptamat.2020.03.064 ↗
32. Beni AA, Rastegari S (2025) Influence of composition and process parameters on aluminide coatings thickness: an explainable machine learning-assisted approach. IUST 22(3):91–103
33. Shin D, Yamamoto Y, Brady MP, Lee S, Haynes JA (2019) Modern data analytics approach to predict creep of high-temperature alloys. Acta Mater 168:321–330. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.actamat.2019.02.01710.1016/j.actamat.2019.02.017 ↗
34. Murugesan M, Sajjad M, Jung DW (2019) Hybrid machine learning optimization approach to predict hot deformation behavior of medium carbon steel material. Metals. https://doi.org/10.3390/met912131510.3390/met9121315 ↗
35. Dai D, Xu T, Wei X, Ding G, Xu Y, Zhang J, Zhang H (2020) Using machine learning and feature engineering to characterize limited material datasets of high-entropy alloys. Comput Mater Sci. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.commatsci.2020.10961810.1016/j.commatsci.2020.109618 ↗
36. Quan G, Lv W, Mao Y, Zhang Y, Zhou J (2013) Prediction of flow stress in a wide temperature range involving phase transformation for as-cast Ti–6Al–2Zr–1Mo–1V alloy by artificial neural network. Mater Des 50:51–61. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.matdes.2013.02.03310.1016/j.matdes.2013.02.033 ↗
37. Stendal JA, Bambach M, Eisentraut M, Sizova I, Weiß S (2019) Applying machine learning to the phenomenological flow stress modeling of TNM-B1. Metals. https://doi.org/10.3390/met902022010.3390/met9020220 ↗
38. Huang C, Jia X, Zhang Z (2018) A modified back propagation artificial neural network model based on genetic algorithm to predict the flow behavior of 5754 aluminum alloy. Materials. https://doi.org/10.3390/ma1105085510.3390/ma11050855 ↗
39. Wilk-Kolodziejczyk D, Regulski K, Gumienny G (2016) Comparative analysis of the properties of the nodular cast iron with carbides and the austempered ductile iron with use of the machine learning and the support vector machine. Int J Adv Manuf Technol 87(1):1077–1093. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00170-016-8510-y10.1007/s00170-016-8510-y ↗
40. Chaudhary N, Abu-Odeh A, Karaman I, Arróyave R (2017) A data-driven machine learning approach to predicting stacking faulting energy in austenitic steels. J Mater Sci 52(18):11048–11076. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10853-017-1252-x10.1007/s10853-017-1252-x ↗
41. T. Zhang (2004) Solving large scale linear prediction problems using stochastic gradient descent algorithms, in Proceedings of the twenty-first international conference on Machine learning, p. 116. Doi10.1145/1015330.1015332 ↗
42. Pedregosa F, Varoquaux G, Gramfort A, Michel V, Thirion B, Grisel O, Blondel M, Prettenhofer P, Weiss R, Dubourg V, Vanderplas J, Passos A, Cournapeau D, Brucher M, Perrot M, Duchesnay E (2011) Scikit-learn: Machine Learning in Python. J Mach Learn Res 12:2825–2830. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.1201.049010.48550/arXiv.1201.0490 ↗
43. Breiman L (1996) Bagging predictors. Mach Learn 24(2):123–140. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF0005865510.1007/BF00058655 ↗
44. Cover T, Hart P (1967) Nearest neighbor pattern classification. IEEE Trans Inf Theory 13(1):21–27. https://doi.org/10.1109/TIT.1967.105396410.1109/TIT.1967.1053964 ↗
45. Li B, Hoi SCH, Gopalkrishnan V (2011) Corn: correlation-driven nonparametric learning approach for portfolio selection. ACM Trans Intell Syst Technol (TIST) 2(3):1–2910.1145/1961189.1961193 ↗
46. Guryanov A (2019) Histogram-Based Algorithm for Building Gradient Boosting Ensembles of Piecewise Linear Decision Trees. In: van der Aalst WMP, Batagelj V, Ignatov DI, Khachay M, Kuskova V, Kutuzov A, Kuznetsov SO, Lomazova IA, Loukachevitch N, Napoli A, Pardalos PM, Pelillo M, Savchenko AV, Tutubalina E (eds) Analysis of Images, Social Networks and Texts. Springer International Publishing, Cham, pp 39–5010.1007/978-3-030-37334-4_4 ↗
47. I. Goodfellow, Y. Bengio, and A. Courville (2016) Deep learning. MIT press
48. SciPy documentation, o. Available from: https://docs.scipy.org/doc/
49. J. Bergstra, J B. Ca, and Y B. Ca (2012) Random Search for Hyper-Parameter Optimization Yoshua Bengio. [Online]. Available: http://scikit-learn.sourceforge.net
50. Joseph VR (2022) Optimal ratio for data splitting. Stat Anal Data Min 15(4):531–538. https://doi.org/10.1002/sam.1158310.1002/sam.11583 ↗
51. A. Ghasemi and M. Zakeri (2024) Dataset for Mechanical Properties of Austenitic Stainless Steels at Elevated Temperatures, m-zakeri.github.io/TPPASS
52. Calmunger M, Chai G, Eriksson R, Johansson S, Moverare JJ (2017) Characterization of austenitic stainless steels deformed at elevated temperature. Metall Mater Trans A 48(10):4525–4538. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11661-017-4212-910.1007/s11661-017-4212-9 ↗
53. Mirzadeh H, Parsa MH, Ohadi D (2013) Hot deformation behavior of austenitic stainless steel for a wide range of initial grain size. Mater Sci Eng A 569:54–60. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.msea.2013.01.05010.1016/j.msea.2013.01.050 ↗
54. Momeni A, Dehghani K, Keshmiri H, Ebrahimi GR (2010) Hot deformation behavior and microstructural evolution of a superaustenitic stainless steel. Mater Sci Eng A 527(6):1605–1611. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.msea.2009.10.05110.1016/j.msea.2009.10.051 ↗
55. Kartik B, Veerababu R, Sundararaman M, Satyanarayana DVV (2015) Effect of high temperature ageing on microstructure and mechanical properties of a nickel-free high nitrogen austenitic stainless steel. Mater Sci Eng A 642:288–296. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.msea.2015.07.01110.1016/j.msea.2015.07.011 ↗
56. Qin F, Li Y, He W, Zhao X, Chen H (2017) Aging precipitation behavior and its influence on mechanical properties of Mn18Cr18N austenitic stainless steel. Metals Mater Int 23(6):1087–1096. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12540-017-7098-610.1007/s12540-017-7098-6 ↗
57. D. Slack, S. Hilgard, E. Jia, S. Singh, and H. Lakkaraju (2020) Fooling lime and shap: Adversarial attacks on post hoc explanation methods, in Proceedings of the AAAI/ACM Conference on AI, Ethics, and Society, pp. 180–18610.1145/3375627.3375830 ↗
58. Xu S, He J, Zhang R, Zhang F, Wang X (2023) Hot deformation behaviors and dynamic softening mechanisms of 7Mo super-austenitic stainless steel with high stacking fault energy. J Mater Res Technol 23:1738–1752. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmrt.2023.01.10810.1016/j.jmrt.2023.01.108 ↗
59. Guan K, Xu X, Xu H, Wang Z (2005) Effect of aging at 700°C on precipitation and toughness of AISI 321 and AISI 347 austenitic stainless steel welds. Nucl Eng Des 235(23):2485–2494. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.nucengdes.2005.06.00610.1016/j.nucengdes.2005.06.006 ↗